to all crafts

The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +3.06$

Invest 13.08$

Average return 16.15$

ROI +23.4%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 30.67 $, profit at most −14.53 $

float premium: at least 16 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

5.32 $

at 0.89

Steam

×3

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

5.53 $

at 1.84

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

2.23 $

at 2.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.08 $ +3.06 (+23.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

2.66 $

at 0.89

Steam

×4

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

7.37 $

at 1.84

Steam

×3

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

6.70 $

at 2.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.73 $ +0.68 (+4.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

28.75 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.50 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

10.27 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124749

23.93 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080999

22.06 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080999

18.60 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124749

35.83 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Huntsman Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.22 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.25 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3211901 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 3.18$ · invest 11.62$
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gauss (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074223 instead of 0.075448; P250 | Nevermore (Factory New): float at most 0.003695 instead of 0.004767
Craft 3207767 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 3.12$ · invest 12.25$
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074223 instead of 0.075448; P250 | Nevermore (Factory New): float at most 0.003695 instead of 0.004767
Craft 3211462 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 2.86$ · invest 12.30$
rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077912 instead of 0.075448; P250 | Nevermore (Factory New): float at most 0.006923 instead of 0.004767

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build