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The Dead Hand Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +3.99₴

Invest 41.64₴

Average return 45.64₴

ROI +9.6%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest 90.33 ₴, profit −44.69 ₴

float premium: 35 ₴ (61.9%)

To build: easy

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈10% of lots fit ≈ enough for 16 contracts · easy (estimate)

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Battle-Scarred

any lot

7.00 ₴

at 7.00

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2493

34.65 ₴

at 3.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.64 ₴ +3.99 (+9.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

41.90 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18

Field-Tested

float up to 0.255312

50.30 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

48.77 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

45.12 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Field-Tested

float up to 0.235166

37.43 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

133.42 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

97.10 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

215.06 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

81.50 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

85.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.64 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.82 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3223890 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4.17₴ · invest 49.72₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162713 instead of 0.249329
Craft 3215086 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 3.86₴ · invest 49.67₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested): float at most 0.205067 instead of 0.249329

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build