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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +4.25$

Invest 4.24$

Average return 8.49$

ROI +100.2%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 10.03 $, profit at most −1.54 $

float premium: at least 6 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +4.76 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

0.57 $

at 0.28

Steam

×5

P90 | Grim

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

2.23 $

at 0.45

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

1.44 $

at 0.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.24 $ +4.25 (+100.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

0.28 $

at 0.28

Steam

×1

P90 | Grim

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.45 $

at 0.45

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

3.84 $

at 0.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.58 $ +4.76 (+104.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.79 $

at 0.16

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

0.28 $

at 0.28

Steam

×1

P90 | Grim

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.45 $

at 0.45

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.44 $

at 0.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.97 $ +2.14 (+72.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.95 $

at 0.16

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

0.28 $

at 0.28

Steam

×1

P90 | Grim

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.45 $

at 0.45

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.96 $

at 0.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.65 $ +1.62 (+61.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.27 $

at 0.16

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

0.28 $

at 0.28

Steam

×1

P90 | Grim

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.45 $

at 0.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.00 $ +0.57 (+28.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 68%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Directive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

6.18 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43.14 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

2.18 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.36 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.70 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.046899

1.52 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.00 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

1.94 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.053199

2.35 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1.12 $ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 only The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.64 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.92 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3218878 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4.64$ · invest 4.59$
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261
Craft 3218659 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 4.38$ · invest 4.57$
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074261; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074261
Craft 3210088 · The Clutch Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.19$ · invest 4.37$
SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.074261; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.074261
Craft 3218899 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 4.16$ · invest 4.49$
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261
Craft 3211482 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.07$ · invest 4.56$
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074161 instead of 0.074261; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074161 instead of 0.074261
Craft 3203987 · The Breakout Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.03$ · invest 4.84$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.074261; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.074261
Craft 3218920 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 4.03$ · invest 4.81$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074261
Craft 3217374 · The Gallery Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 3.99$ · invest 4.86$
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075002 instead of 0.074261; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075002 instead of 0.074261

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build