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The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +33.91$

Invest 54.59$

Average return 88.50$

ROI +62.1%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 124.55 $, profit at most −36.06 $

float premium: at least 68 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +53.36 $ по средним

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −2.81 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

15.29 $

at 2.18

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

13.48 $

at 6.74

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

25.82 $

at 25.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 54.59 $ +33.91 (+62.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

6.55 $

at 2.18

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

33.70 $

at 6.74

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

51.64 $

at 25.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 91.89 $ +41.36 (+45.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −47 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

26.96 $

at 6.74

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

96.60 $

at 32.20

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

155.35 $

at 51.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 278.91 $ +33.33 (+11.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −80 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

4.37 $

at 2.18

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

64.40 $

at 32.20

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

310.70 $

at 51.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 379.47 $ +22.26 (+5.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −20 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

2.18 $

at 2.18

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

33.70 $

at 6.74

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

96.60 $

at 32.20

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

51.78 $

at 51.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 184.27 $ +38.47 (+20.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.045454

50.13 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.014545

25.48 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.045454

75.32 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093636

285.41 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

749.25 $ 5.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +26.35 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +31.79 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build