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The Fever Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +17.99₽

Invest 362.10₽

Average return 380.09₽

ROI +5.0%

Chance of profit 37%

With float: invest at least 892.46 ₽, profit at most −512.37 ₽

float premium: at least 503 ₽

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

P90 | Wave Breaker

Well-Worn

any lot

39.72 ₽

at 39.72

Steam

×9

MP7 | Just Smile

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1854

322.38 ₽

at 35.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 362.10 ₽ +17.99 (+5.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P90 | Wave Breaker

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

79.44 ₽

at 39.72

Steam

×1

P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

42.00 ₽

at 42.00

Steam

×7

MP7 | Just Smile

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

250.74 ₽

at 35.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 372.18 ₽ +5.91 (+1.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 37%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Black Lotus

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

590.61 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143571

406.60 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Jawbreaker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

317.53 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

424.96 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

440.47 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

414.92 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −21.50 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.41 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3223617 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 19.81₽ · invest 370.64₽
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gauss (Battle-Scarred) instead of P90 | Wave Breaker (Well-Worn); MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): float at most 0.180098 instead of 0.185493
Craft 3223566 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 19.17₽ · invest 370.68₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Well-Worn) instead of P90 | Wave Breaker (Well-Worn); MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): float at most 0.188095 instead of 0.185493
Craft 3223836 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 17.86₽ · invest 419.50₽
rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) instead of P90 | Wave Breaker (Well-Worn); MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): float at most 0.188095 instead of 0.185493

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build