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The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1.54$

Invest 5.29$

Average return 6.83$

ROI +29.1%

Chance of profit 87%

With float: invest at least 12.73 $, profit at most −5.89 $

float premium: at least 7 $

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0814

3.14 $

at 0.45

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

0.83 $

at 0.83

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

1.33 $

at 0.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.29 $ +1.54 (+29.1%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0814

3.14 $

at 0.45

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

1.66 $

at 0.83

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

0.67 $

at 0.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.46 $ +1.60 (+29.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

0.45 $

at 0.45

Steam

×4

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1760

1.28 $

at 0.32

Steam

×5

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

3.33 $

at 0.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.05 $ +0.20 (+3.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 87%
Losing outcome 7%
About break-even 7%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.059756

8.78 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.059756

7.98 $ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072560

4.21 $ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.27 $ 6.67%

Steam

about break-even

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.064024

5.85 $ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.70 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.17 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3217520 · The Gallery Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.02$ · invest 4.37$
M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.081403
Craft 3201507 · The Ascent Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.02$ · invest 4.94$
P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074571 instead of 0.081403; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): float at most 0.003999 instead of 0.007298
Craft 3221817 · The Harlequin Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 1.90$ · invest 4.65$
SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076135 instead of 0.081403
Craft 3221747 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 1.90$ · invest 4.66$
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Monster Melt: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075613 instead of 0.081403; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004911 instead of 0.007298
Craft 3215015 · The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.88$ · invest 4.77$
rare inputs

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.081403
Craft 3206960 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.81$ · invest 3.63$
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074403 instead of 0.081403
Craft 3221884 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1.78$ · invest 4.44$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074074 instead of 0.081403
Craft 3221749 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 1.74$ · invest 5.13$
nothing instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); AUG | Eye of Zapems: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.001581 instead of 0.007298
Craft 3217519 · The Gallery Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.59$ · invest 4.25$
M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074242 instead of 0.081403

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build