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The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float +4.37$

Invest at least 58.70$

Average return 63.07$

ROI +7.4%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 58.70 $, profit at most +4.37 $

float premium: at least 36 $

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

0.83 $

at 0.83

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

21.64 $

at 2.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.47 $ +40.60 (+180.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

10.18 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

15.51 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

213.30 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

8.78 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

7.98 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +28.65 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +36.02 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 57 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3230439 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 42.03$ · invest 23.16$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004494 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3198864 · The Ancient Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 41.56$ · invest 25.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005364 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3192680 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 41.15$ · invest 22.34$
sells slowly pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004332 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3229214 · The Safehouse Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 41.08$ · invest 22.34$
sells slowly

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007308 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3229649 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.92$ · invest 23.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004313 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3230283 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.87$ · invest 22.33$
sells slowly pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 3228860 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.87$ · invest 22.15$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3226651 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.84$ · invest 22.21$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005354 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3193472 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.84$ · invest 23.82$
sells slowly

MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3208990 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.83$ · invest 22.16$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3229841 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.79$ · invest 22.10$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3225103 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.74$ · invest 23.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3227853 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.73$ · invest 22.33$
sells slowly

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3205534 · The CS20 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.72$ · invest 22.11$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007783 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3207541 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.72$ · invest 22.00$
sells slowly

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004489 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3229386 · The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.70$ · invest 22.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3215547 · The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.69$ · invest 22.55$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 3219685 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.66$ · invest 22.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005589 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3203085 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.66$ · invest 22.04$
sells slowly

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3227103 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.66$ · invest 22.09$
sells slowly

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3201878 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.66$ · invest 22.51$
sells slowly

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3230469 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 40.65$ · invest 23.19$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.003780 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3209766 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.64$ · invest 22.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3222593 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.63$ · invest 22.63$
sells slowly

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3217261 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.63$ · invest 21.92$
sells slowly

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 3226124 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.63$ · invest 22.31$
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3224029 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.63$ · invest 21.92$
sells slowly

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007887 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3197800 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.61$ · invest 22.41$
sells slowly

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007825 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3227504 · The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.58$ · invest 22.93$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Off World (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007945 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3210832 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.56$ · invest 21.99$
sells slowly

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007668 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3230007 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.55$ · invest 22.05$
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3212243 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.54$ · invest 22.05$
sells slowly

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005968 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3218200 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.53$ · invest 22.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007892 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3228198 · The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.51$ · invest 22.03$
sells slowly

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 3230143 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.51$ · invest 22.18$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006259 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3228541 · The Revolution Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.50$ · invest 22.01$
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007976 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3204499 · The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.50$ · invest 22.21$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007308 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3213229 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.40$ · invest 22.41$
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3225776 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.34$ · invest 24.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 3220356 · The Genesis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.33$ · invest 22.47$
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3224276 · The Lake Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.33$ · invest 22.09$
sells slowly

SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004332 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3202458 · The Bank Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.31$ · invest 23.11$
sells slowly

Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006040 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3216425 · The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.29$ · invest 22.27$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3230344 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.23$ · invest 23.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3230458 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 40.23$ · invest 23.68$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3223394 · The Italy Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.18$ · invest 22.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3200407 · The Arabesque Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.17$ · invest 23.70$
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3230434 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Train Collection · profit 40.08$ · invest 22.31$
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007308 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3221096 · The Glove Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.04$ · invest 26.24$
sells slowly

MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007451 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3223118 · The Huntsman Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.03$ · invest 23.27$
sells slowly

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005814 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3221602 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 40.00$ · invest 23.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007825 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3199708 · The Anubis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 39.61$ · invest 25.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3214696 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 39.59$ · invest 22.93$
sells slowly

M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3197030 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 39.49$ · invest 27.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir P90 | Schematic (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007518 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3230490 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 39.42$ · invest 24.56$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007308 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3201072 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 39.32$ · invest 27.19$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005701 instead of 0.007889
Craft 3195935 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 39.09$ · invest 24.95$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007889

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build