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The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +9.64$

Invest 11.93$

Average return 21.57$

ROI +80.8%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 29.03 $, profit at most −7.46 $

float premium: at least 17 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +12.24 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

AUG | Amber Slipstream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

0.53 $

at 0.53

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.28 $

at 0.64

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

0.98 $

at 0.98

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

9.14 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.93 $ +9.64 (+80.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

3.85 $

at 0.64

Steam

×1

P90 | Traction

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

0.76 $

at 0.76

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

4.57 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.18 $ +4.00 (+43.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

AUG | Amber Slipstream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

2.65 $

at 0.53

Steam

×4

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

3.96 $

at 0.99

Steam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.21 $

at 1.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.81 $ +1.17 (+15.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

AUG | Amber Slipstream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.59 $

at 0.53

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.28 $

at 0.64

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

7.62 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.49 $ +6.89 (+65.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

AUG | Amber Slipstream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

1.59 $

at 0.53

Steam

×5

P90 | Traction

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

3.81 $

at 0.76

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

3.05 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.44 $ +2.64 (+31.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

9.31 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

87.22 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

29.27 $ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2.37 $ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

7.51 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

5.41 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

9.39 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11.01 $ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Toy Soldier

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

6.25 $ 6.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.53 → 1.14 $

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 1.28 → 2.83 $

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.98 → 2.11 $

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 6 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 9.14 → 22.94 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.087499900

outcomes come out up to 0.040124, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.087499, 0.043749, 0.087499, 0.061249, 0.069999, 0.087499

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.29 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.67 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3209781 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.79$ · invest 11.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.161798; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.074103
Craft 3226149 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.76$ · invest 10.71$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.161798; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.074103
Craft 3229226 · The Safehouse Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.55$ · invest 11.29$
rare inputs

FAMAS | Teardown (Minimal Wear), Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163123 instead of 0.161798; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074564 instead of 0.074103
Craft 3226152 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.99$ · invest 10.36$
rare inputs

Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163724 instead of 0.161798; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074773 instead of 0.074103
Craft 3226150 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.39$ · invest 9.50$
rare inputs

Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162964 instead of 0.161798; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074509 instead of 0.074103

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build