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The Horizon Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +34.15$

Invest 44.31$

Average return 78.46$

ROI +77.1%

Chance of profit 43%

With float: invest at least 100.60 $, profit at most −22.14 $

float premium: at least 56 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +37.68 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

4.39 $

at 1.10

Steam

×3

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

22.53 $

at 7.51

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

17.39 $

at 5.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.31 $ +34.15 (+77.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −34 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

1.10 $

at 1.10

Steam

×4

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

11.50 $

at 2.87

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

28.98 $

at 5.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.58 $ +16.01 (+38.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

4.39 $

at 1.10

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

37.55 $

at 7.51

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

5.80 $

at 5.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 47.74 $ +37.68 (+78.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

4.39 $

at 1.10

Steam

×4

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

30.04 $

at 7.51

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

11.59 $

at 5.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46.02 $ +35.92 (+78.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

4.39 $

at 1.10

Steam

×2

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

15.02 $

at 7.51

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

23.19 $

at 5.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42.60 $ +32.39 (+76.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 43%
Losing outcome 57%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

38.40 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

249.99 $ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

18.30 $ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Elite Build

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

83.29 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.053199

74.40 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

29.00 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 only The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +20.90 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +29.57 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3222126 · The Horizon Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 36.62$ · invest 54.44$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Torque (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.162730; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.003874
Craft 3222351 · The Horizon Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 35.93$ · invest 43.44$
sells slowly

USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163609 instead of 0.162730; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004141 instead of 0.003874
Craft 3222238 · The Horizon Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 35.28$ · invest 46.43$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163609 instead of 0.162730; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004141 instead of 0.003874
Craft 3220515 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 34.86$ · invest 50.30$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161814 instead of 0.162730; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003595 instead of 0.003874
Craft 3222253 · The Horizon Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 34.01$ · invest 44.59$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.162730; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004320 instead of 0.003874
Craft 3215033 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 32.59$ · invest 43.03$
sells slowly

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178344 instead of 0.162730; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 3; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.005494 instead of 0.003874
Craft 3222463 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 31.93$ · invest 51.58$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178344 instead of 0.162730; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 3; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004022 instead of 0.003874
Craft 3197507 · The Achroma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 31.41$ · invest 44.31$
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164024 instead of 0.162730; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004268 instead of 0.003874
Craft 3222646 · The Horizon Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 31.01$ · invest 48.69$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.162730; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.003874
Craft 3192380 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 29.56$ · invest 48.03$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166322 instead of 0.162730; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 3; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004967 instead of 0.003874
Craft 3222462 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 28.83$ · invest 43.02$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163700 instead of 0.162730; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004169 instead of 0.003874

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build