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The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −3.93$

Invest at least 19.03$

Average return 15.11$

ROI −20.6%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 19.03 $, profit at most −3.93 $

float premium: at least 11 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +12.24 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

2.30 $

at 0.46

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

2.93 $

at 0.98

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

3.05 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.28 $ +6.83 (+82.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

1.38 $

at 0.46

Steam

×4

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

4.83 $

at 1.21

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

4.57 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.78 $ +9.43 (+87.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

0.46 $

at 0.46

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

1.95 $

at 0.98

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

10.66 $

at 1.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.08 $ +12.24 (+93.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 12%

about break-even

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

9.31 $ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

87.22 $ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

29.27 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2.37 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Slate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

7.70 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.084874

1.93 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

0.91 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.056874

2.00 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cyber Shell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074374

0.97 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.85 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.47 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Snakebite Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3219701 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.41$ · invest 8.94$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163570 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074720 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3226151 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.14$ · invest 9.30$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3219702 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.03$ · invest 8.39$
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162339 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074292 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3229860 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.93$ · invest 8.75$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) instead of nothing; Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P250 | Cyber Shell: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.003575 instead of 0.004365; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161747 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074086 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3201903 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.80$ · invest 9.29$
rare inputs

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164482 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075037 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3230159 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.67$ · invest 9.31$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162568 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074371 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3230160 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.63$ · invest 8.79$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162899 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3212263 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.55$ · invest 8.27$
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested), MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161988 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074169 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3204514 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.52$ · invest 8.80$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163515 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074700 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3229858 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5.62$ · invest 7.21$
rare inputs

P250 | Cyber Shell: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.004146 instead of 0.004365; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163623 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.074988

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build