The Glove Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +440 249.81₸

Invest 579 177.73₸

Average return 1 019 427.53₸

ROI +76.0%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 1 304 912.55 ₸, profit at most −285 485.01 ₸

float premium: at least 706 120 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +616 712.76 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 14.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −446 300.74 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

498 595.07 ₸

at 166 198.36

Steam

×2

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

80 582.66 ₸

at 40 291.33

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 579 177.73 ₸ +440 249.81 (+76.0%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 20.1% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −23 401 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

166 198.36 ₸

at 166 198.36

Steam

×4

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

161 165.31 ₸

at 40 291.33

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 327 363.67 ₸ +87 323.90 (+26.7%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 58%
About break-even 2%
Above the Steam cap 14%

Order

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

100 453.56 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

117 540.93 ₸ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

133 375.23 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

210 005.28 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

498 068.20 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

93 018.08 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

201 883.32 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

93 012.61 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

191 507.76 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

40 283.01 ₸ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

336 053.14 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

606 812.80 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

382 039.42 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

517 468.22 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

293 835.08 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 444 887.30 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

722 283.47 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

971 003.36 ₸ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

538 682.80 ₸ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

233 273.64 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

845 616.96 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

755 418.97 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

463 319.22 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 928 235.51 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 144 072.86 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 588 825.39 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 255 640.27 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 600 071.96 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

547 165.17 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

255 719.34 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

694 978.89 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

157 053.97 ₸ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Glove Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Chroma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Glove Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +429 442.80 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +438 260.10 ₸ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Glove Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3231811 · The Glove Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 570 783.98₸ · invest 680 744.49₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008445 instead of 0.007404
Craft 3231813 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 570 783.98₸ · invest 680 744.49₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008445 instead of 0.007404
Craft 3231277 · The Glove Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 503 500.60₸ · invest 700 046.29₸
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.007404
Craft 3231278 · The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 503 500.60₸ · invest 700 046.29₸
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.007404
Craft 3232215 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 473 227.68₸ · invest 601 295.35₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.007404
Craft 3232216 · The Glove Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 473 227.68₸ · invest 601 295.35₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.007404
Craft 3232197 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 469 353.31₸ · invest 605 169.71₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.007404
Craft 3232198 · The Glove Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 469 353.31₸ · invest 605 169.71₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.007404
Craft 3232217 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 450 892.39₸ · invest 623 630.63₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005334 instead of 0.007404
Craft 3232218 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 450 892.39₸ · invest 623 630.63₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005334 instead of 0.007404
Craft 3232189 · The Prisma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 442 105.93₸ · invest 580 662.51₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.007404
Craft 3232190 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 442 105.93₸ · invest 580 662.51₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.007404
Craft 3232213 · The Wildfire Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 440 249.81₸ · invest 579 177.73₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3231197 · The Glove Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 437 476.56₸ · invest 637 046.46₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007796 instead of 0.007404
Craft 3231198 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 437 476.56₸ · invest 637 046.46₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007796 instead of 0.007404
Craft 3231115 · The Glove Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 434 411.89₸ · invest 640 111.13₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008403 instead of 0.007404
Craft 3231116 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 434 411.89₸ · invest 640 111.13₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008403 instead of 0.007404

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Glove Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build