The Gallery Collection + The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −3 918.78₴

Invest 9 162.37₴

Average return 5 243.59₴

ROI −42.8%

Chance of profit 12%

With float: invest 10 821.14 ₴, profit −5 577.56 ₴

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

To build: no data

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.7304

2 074.30 ₴

at 2 074.30

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4999

7 088.06 ₴

at 1 772.02

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 9 162.37 ₴ −3 918.78 (−42.8%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 12%
Losing outcome 75%
About break-even 6%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.259999

10 449.73 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

6 764.31 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

5 556.23 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

8 567.85 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

4 120.09 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

5 294.52 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

12 655.03 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

4 629.48 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

3 849.90 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

5 203.70 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

3 811.76 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

14 160.11 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

8 649.95 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.259999

6 486.82 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

3 849.64 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

3 269.63 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

5 627.24 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

2 089.95 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

2 034.94 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

4 289.31 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

2 654.48 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

2 069.90 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

2 814.45 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.799999

2 706.97 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife

no wear

5 164.08 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gallery Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4 991.29 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −4 094.19 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3234706 · The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −3 675.92₴ · invest 9 239.05₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3234714 · The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −3 675.92₴ · invest 9 239.05₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3234475 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −3 869.32₴ · invest 10 289.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3234482 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −3 869.32₴ · invest 10 289.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.500000 instead of 0.499999
Craft 3234522 · The CS20 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit −3 918.78₴ · invest 9 162.37₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gallery Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build