The Fracture Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −27 800.41₴

Invest at least 37 069.17₴

Average return 9 268.76₴

ROI −75.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 37 069.17 ₴, profit at most −27 800.41 ₴

float premium: at least 19 130 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −7 945.78 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0824

2 655.18 ₴

at 2 655.18

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0108

10 632.10 ₴

at 3 544.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1856

3 382.15 ₴

at 3 382.15

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 16 669.43 ₴ −7 400.66 (−44.4%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 15.4% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

7 088.06 ₴

at 3 544.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1733

3 382.15 ₴

at 3 382.15

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

12 753.07 ₴

at 6 376.54

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 23 223.29 ₴ −14 946.60 (−64.4%)

What you get 65 outcomes

Profitable outcome 14%
Losing outcome 77%
About break-even 2%
Above the Steam cap 8%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

9 466.09 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

9 075.09 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 186.73 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 259.55 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 974.51 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 000.36 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 851.83 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

8 249.24 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 991.65 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 157.08 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 699.57 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 234.34 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

9 112.15 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

9 019.08 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 349.48 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 292.40 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 060.95 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 478.66 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

8 744.77 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 998.22 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 427.61 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 459.75 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 734.83 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

16 087.93 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

14 253.55 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 106.65 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 000.03 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 075.28 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 024.51 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

5 692.35 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

13 654.01 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

7 778.64 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 134.68 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 833.68 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 088.08 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

30 957.07 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

27 056.72 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 335.93 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 155.33 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

12 824.87 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

12 548.70 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

35 434.54 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

10 925.05 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

9 875.77 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

11 364.09 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

15 297.99 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife

no wear

2 956.34 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife

no wear

2 915.76 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife

no wear

6 741.49 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife

no wear

11 400.22 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

14 082.67 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

15 579.93 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 249.22 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 783.87 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

7 567.75 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

7 340.13 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

8 249.79 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 463.54 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

8 342.86 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

7 245.39 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) × 1 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 2 655.18 → 5 735.18 ₴

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) × 3 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 10 632.10 → 24 028.54 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) × 1 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 3 382.15 → 7 305.45 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8 775.83 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −7 566.52 ₴ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3233394 · The Fracture Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit −7 121.62₴ · invest 18 237.14₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075548 instead of 0.082416; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New): float at most 0.004854 instead of 0.010864
Craft 3233399 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit −7 121.62₴ · invest 18 237.14₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075548 instead of 0.082416; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New): float at most 0.004854 instead of 0.010864
Craft 3236258 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit −7 400.66₴ · invest 16 669.43₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 65 outcomes

More

How to build