The Huntsman Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −13 480.88₴

Invest at least 26 158.88₴

Average return 12 678.00₴

ROI −51.5%

Chance of profit 14%

With float: invest at least 26 158.88 ₴, profit at most −13 480.88 ₴

float premium: at least 14 385 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 280 ₴

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.1% of the chance

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0835

8 748.58 ₴

at 2 187.15

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0835

2 531.71 ₴

at 2 531.71

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 11 280.29 ₴ +1 397.71 (+12.4%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 625 ₴

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0820

6 561.44 ₴

at 2 187.15

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0820

5 063.41 ₴

at 2 531.71

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 11 624.85 ₴ +149.82 (+1.3%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 58%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

16 221.98 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

22 547.18 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

11 700.91 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

6 075.15 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

20 374.72 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 724.16 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 239.36 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

34 722.83 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11 934.69 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 494.07 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

45 098.84 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 276.68 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife

no wear

10 630.36 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

13 070.44 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

31 326.17 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

12 964.41 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

8 805.96 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

19 691.88 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 269.84 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

17 049.56 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9 155.20 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 833.68 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 074.94 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

6 274.63 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Huntsman Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 only The Huntsman Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The CS20 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −525.80 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +823.90 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Huntsman Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3236032 · The Huntsman Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 1 512.87₴ · invest 12 067.46₴
profit on prices without salesat least −11 024 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.083568
Craft 3236038 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 1 512.87₴ · invest 12 067.46₴
profit on prices without salesat least −11 024 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.083568
Craft 3237580 · The Huntsman Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 457.48₴ · invest 12 196.59₴
profit on prices without salesat least −11 988 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.083568
Craft 3237584 · The Horizon Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 1 457.48₴ · invest 12 196.59₴
profit on prices without salesat least −11 988 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.083568
Craft 3237834 · The Wildfire Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 1 397.71₴ · invest 11 280.29₴
profit on prices without salesat least −11 280 ₴ no outcome price rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Huntsman Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build