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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1 023.52₽

Invest at least 2 366.72₽

Average return 1 343.20₽

ROI −43.2%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 2 366.72 ₽, profit at most −1 023.52 ₽

float premium: at least 1 307 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Hexane

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

387.37 ₽

at 387.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) — 420.01 ₽ +32.64 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.1500–0.2036
StatTrak™ P250 | Hive (Factory New) — 500.07 ₽ +112.70 ₽ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0582
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Blue Titanium (Factory New) — 913.99 ₽ +526.62 ₽ per item · on the market 69 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

360.00 ₽

at 60.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 61.91 ₽ +1.91 ₽ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0776
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 92.39 ₽ +32.39 ₽ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0388
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 104.11 ₽ +44.11 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0388

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

277.17 ₽

at 92.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 104.11 ₽ +11.72 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 121.94 ₽ +29.55 ₽ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0000–0.0093
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 196.03 ₽ +103.64 ₽ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 024.54 ₽ +318.66 (+31.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −472 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Hexane

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

774.74 ₽

at 387.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) — 420.01 ₽ +32.64 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.1500–0.1975
StatTrak™ P250 | Hive (Factory New) — 500.07 ₽ +112.70 ₽ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0557
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Blue Titanium (Factory New) — 913.99 ₽ +526.62 ₽ per item · on the market 69 · buy 0.0000–0.0074

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

240.00 ₽

at 60.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 61.91 ₽ +1.91 ₽ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 92.39 ₽ +32.39 ₽ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0371
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 104.11 ₽ +44.11 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0371

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

369.56 ₽

at 92.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 104.11 ₽ +11.72 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0038
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 121.94 ₽ +29.55 ₽ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 196.03 ₽ +103.64 ₽ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 384.30 ₽ +161.92 (+11.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 578.53 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.067899

962.08 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

323.58 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

315.38 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

376.48 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

2 916.91 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 507.69 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Hypnotic

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

2 620.54 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Graphite

Factory New

float up to 0.008399

1 538.66 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 3 only The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +125.26 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +276.63 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 2 Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3268178 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 304.78₽ · invest 1 035.77₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Hexane (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074279 instead of 0.077636; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.003744 instead of 0.006681

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build