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The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −0.39$

Invest at least 39.01$

Average return 38.62$

ROI −1.0%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 39.01 $, profit at most −0.39 $

float premium: at least 22 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is +4.65 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

6.90 $

at 0.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) — 0.90 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
StatTrak™ MP7 | Urban Hazard (Factory New) — 1.35 $ +0.49 $ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
StatTrak™ P2000 | Ivory (Factory New) — 3.09 $ +2.23 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0839

9.56 $

at 4.78

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) — 7.44 $ +2.66 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0200–0.0245
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Minimal Wear) — 9.17 $ +4.38 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0700–0.0808

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.46 $ +22.16 (+134.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

7.76 $

at 0.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) — 0.90 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ MP7 | Urban Hazard (Factory New) — 1.35 $ +0.49 $ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ P2000 | Ivory (Factory New) — 3.09 $ +2.23 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0113

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0845

4.78 $

at 4.78

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) — 7.44 $ +2.66 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0200–0.0252
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Minimal Wear) — 9.17 $ +4.38 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0700–0.0840

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.55 $ +9.26 (+73.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

4.60 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

9.92 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.004054

4.18 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

4.30 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

201.03 $ 6.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

float up to 0.061621

94.25 $ 6.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

267.89 $ 6.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Chroma 3 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +20.96 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +21.87 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3269346 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 27.39$ · invest 19.99$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New)
Craft 3272920 · The eSports 2013 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 23.22$ · invest 37.27$
profit on prices without salesat least −20 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build