The Danger Zone Collection
+ The Kilowatt Collection
StatTrak™
Restricted → Classified
About the craftCraft 3256268 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
0% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 5% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1615
(0% of this wear's listings)
148.40 ₽
at 74.20
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear) — 126.58 ₽+52.38 ₽ per item · on the market 38 · buy0.0700–0.1167
StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear) — 152.74 ₽+78.54 ₽ per item · on the market 177 · buy0.0700–0.0897
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear) — 171.64 ₽+97.44 ₽ per item · on the market 132 · buy0.0700–0.0897
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161587f′ (normalized) 0.179541wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 55 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 111) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1615
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
154.78 ₽
at 77.39
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested) — 82.53 ₽+5.14 ₽ per item · on the market 304 · buy0.1500–0.1615
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested) — 82.99 ₽+5.60 ₽ per item · on the market 553 · buy0.1500–0.1615
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) — 100.63 ₽+23.24 ₽ per item · on the market 133 · buy0.0700–0.0999
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161587f′ (normalized) 0.161587wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 648 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 86.25 ₽
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 222) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0740
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
603.78 ₽
at 100.63
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) — 149.13 ₽+48.50 ₽ per item · on the market 180 · buy0.0700–0.1196
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear) — 172.90 ₽+72.27 ₽ per item · on the market 194 · buy0.0700–0.1196
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear) — 182.70 ₽+82.07 ₽ per item · on the market 328 · buy0.0700–0.1196
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074030f′ (normalized) 0.119623wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 133 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 159) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs906.96 ₽
+190.39
(+21.0%)
!
0% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1648
(0% of this wear's listings)
222.60 ₽
at 74.20
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear) — 126.58 ₽+52.38 ₽ per item · on the market 38 · buy0.0700–0.1190
StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear) — 152.74 ₽+78.54 ₽ per item · on the market 177 · buy0.0700–0.0916
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear) — 171.64 ₽+97.44 ₽ per item · on the market 132 · buy0.0700–0.0916
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164890f′ (normalized) 0.183211wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 55 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 111) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×7
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0751
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
704.41 ₽
at 100.63
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) — 149.13 ₽+48.50 ₽ per item · on the market 180 · buy0.0700–0.1214
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear) — 172.90 ₽+72.27 ₽ per item · on the market 194 · buy0.0700–0.1214
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear) — 182.70 ₽+82.07 ₽ per item · on the market 328 · buy0.0700–0.1214
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075179f′ (normalized) 0.121480wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 133 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 159) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs927.01 ₽
+178.20
(+19.2%)
!
0% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×5
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1644
(0% of this wear's listings)
371.00 ₽
at 74.20
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear) — 126.58 ₽+52.38 ₽ per item · on the market 38 · buy0.0700–0.1187
StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear) — 152.74 ₽+78.54 ₽ per item · on the market 177 · buy0.0700–0.0913
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear) — 171.64 ₽+97.44 ₽ per item · on the market 132 · buy0.0700–0.0913
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164469f′ (normalized) 0.182743wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 55 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 111) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0750
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
126.58 ₽
at 126.58
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Minimal Wear) — 167.99 ₽+41.41 ₽ per item · on the market 38 · buy0.0700–0.1038
StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Factory New) — 311.84 ₽+185.26 ₽ per item · on the market 109 · buy0.0000–0.0577
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) — 321.71 ₽+195.13 ₽ per item · on the market 114 · buy0.0000–0.0577
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075032f′ (normalized) 0.115435wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 38 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 70 · from 112.54 ₽ (float 0.0715) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0750
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
301.89 ₽
at 100.63
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) — 149.13 ₽+48.50 ₽ per item · on the market 180 · buy0.0700–0.1212
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear) — 172.90 ₽+72.27 ₽ per item · on the market 194 · buy0.0700–0.1212
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear) — 182.70 ₽+82.07 ₽ per item · on the market 328 · buy0.0700–0.1212
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075032f′ (normalized) 0.121243wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 133 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 159) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0044
(7% of this wear's listings)
194.17 ₽
at 194.17
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New) — 416.72 ₽+222.55 ₽ per item · on the market 144 · buy0.0000–0.0047
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Factory New) — 424.89 ₽+230.72 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy0.0000–0.0071
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New) — 426.04 ₽+231.87 ₽ per item · on the market 56 · buy0.0000–0.0071
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004403f′ (normalized) 0.007115wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 95 · good ≈ 6
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 1 150.00 ₽ · among lots up to 1 224.01 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 99 · from 928.86 ₽ (float 0.0024) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs993.64 ₽
+135.13
(+13.6%)
!
0% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1639
(0% of this wear's listings)
74.20 ₽
at 74.20
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear) — 126.58 ₽+52.38 ₽ per item · on the market 38 · buy0.0700–0.1184
StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear) — 152.74 ₽+78.54 ₽ per item · on the market 177 · buy0.0700–0.0911
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear) — 171.64 ₽+97.44 ₽ per item · on the market 132 · buy0.0700–0.0911
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163986f′ (normalized) 0.182207wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 55 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 111) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1639
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
232.17 ₽
at 77.39
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested) — 82.53 ₽+5.14 ₽ per item · on the market 304 · buy0.1500–0.1639
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested) — 82.99 ₽+5.60 ₽ per item · on the market 553 · buy0.1500–0.1639
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) — 100.63 ₽+23.24 ₽ per item · on the market 133 · buy0.0700–0.1014
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163986f′ (normalized) 0.163986wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 648 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 86.25 ₽
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 222) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0748
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
603.78 ₽
at 100.63
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) — 149.13 ₽+48.50 ₽ per item · on the market 180 · buy0.0700–0.1209
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear) — 172.90 ₽+72.27 ₽ per item · on the market 194 · buy0.0700–0.1209
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear) — 182.70 ₽+82.07 ₽ per item · on the market 328 · buy0.0700–0.1209
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074864f′ (normalized) 0.120972wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 133 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 159) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs910.15 ₽
+179.35
(+19.7%)
!
0% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×5
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1637
(0% of this wear's listings)
371.00 ₽
at 74.20
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear) — 126.58 ₽+52.38 ₽ per item · on the market 38 · buy0.0700–0.1182
StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear) — 152.74 ₽+78.54 ₽ per item · on the market 177 · buy0.0700–0.0909
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear) — 171.64 ₽+97.44 ₽ per item · on the market 132 · buy0.0700–0.0909
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163768f′ (normalized) 0.181965wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 55 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 111) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0747
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
402.52 ₽
at 100.63
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) — 149.13 ₽+48.50 ₽ per item · on the market 180 · buy0.0700–0.1208
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear) — 172.90 ₽+72.27 ₽ per item · on the market 194 · buy0.0700–0.1208
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear) — 182.70 ₽+82.07 ₽ per item · on the market 328 · buy0.0700–0.1208
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074789f′ (normalized) 0.120849wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 133 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 159) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0041
(7% of this wear's listings)
194.17 ₽
at 194.17
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New) — 416.72 ₽+222.55 ₽ per item · on the market 144 · buy0.0000–0.0045
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Factory New) — 424.89 ₽+230.72 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy0.0000–0.0067
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New) — 426.04 ₽+231.87 ₽ per item · on the market 56 · buy0.0000–0.0067
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004190f′ (normalized) 0.006771wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 95 · good ≈ 6
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 1 150.00 ₽ · among lots up to 1 224.01 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 99 · from 928.86 ₽ (float 0.0024) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs967.69 ₽
+153.22
(+15.8%)
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
6 outcomes
Profitable outcome 73%
Losing outcome 27%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.097999
1 677.94 ₽26.67%
SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)net 1 459.07 ₽The Kilowatt Collectionsells 148 a weekmonth average 1 677.94 ₽, sold 582 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 1 506.32 ₽
(you get 1 309.84 ₽)) · buy orders: 4920
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 349.76 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 1 480.00 · lots 22
on CSFloat: from 1 295.83 ₽listings: 170
on CS.Money: ~ 1 343.13 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 1 314.59 ₽listings: 114
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.093799
742.22 ₽26.67%
SteamStatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear)net 645.41 ₽The Kilowatt Collectionsells 102 a weeknow 742.22 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 855.14 ₽sell now to a buy order: 741.66 ₽
(you get 644.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 5179
sell on Market.CSGO: 651.80 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 714.70 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 568.40 ₽listings: 139
on CS.Money: ~ 649.14 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 709.49 ₽listings: 78
in profit
StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.139999
1 311.52 ₽26.67%
SteamStatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear)net 1 140.45 ₽The Kilowatt Collectionsells 113 a weeknow 1 311.52 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 1 563.82 ₽sell now to a buy order: 1 343.45 ₽
(you get 1 168.21 ₽)) · buy orders: 6456
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 139.99 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 1 249.99 · lots 16
on CSFloat: from 1 058.52 ₽listings: 117
on CS.Money: ~ 1 227.33 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 1 068.31 ₽listings: 63
in profit
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.083999
1 504.00 ₽6.67%
SteamStatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)net 1 307.83 ₽sells 68 a weeknow 1 504.00 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 1 678.74 ₽sell now to a buy order: 1 546.81 ₽
(you get 1 345.05 ₽)) · buy orders: 1723
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 368.00 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 1 500.00 · lots 19
on CSFloat: from 1 235.49 ₽listings: 87
on CS.Money: ~ 1 385.54 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 1 368.41 ₽listings: 82
in profit
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.111999
1 206.40 ₽6.67%
SteamStatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear)net 1 049.05 ₽sells 23 a weekmonth average 1 206.40 ₽, sold 88 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 958.82 ₽
(you get 833.75 ₽)) · buy orders: 2143
sell on Market.CSGO: 880.08 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 965.00 · lots 16
on CSFloat: from 845.68 ₽listings: 46
on CS.Money: ~ 833.44 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 848.12 ₽listings: 46
in profit
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
1 292.23 ₽6.67%
SteamStatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New)net 1 123.68 ₽sells 8 a weeknow 1 292.23 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 1 519.44 ₽sell now to a buy order: 1 308.49 ₽
(you get 1 137.81 ₽)) · buy orders: 1855
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 246.93 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 1 367.25 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 1 099.30 ₽listings: 31
on CS.Money: ~ 1 124.58 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 1 236.30 ₽listings: 40
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested) × 25% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.21148.40 → 327.96 ₽
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested) × 25% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.21154.78 → 342.06 ₽
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) × 65% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.51603.78 → 1 515.49 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.139999900
outcomes come out up to 0.097999, 0.093799, 0.139999, 0.083999, 0.111999, 0.069999
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Danger Zone Collection + The Kilowatt Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+50.22 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+149.88 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.