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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +49.38₽

Invest 4 642.79₽

Average return 4 692.17₽

ROI +1.1%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 11 733.33 ₽, profit at most −7 041.16 ₽

float premium: at least 6 768 ₽

To build: easy

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

24% of lots fit: the price is understated

×9

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5565

4 322.79 ₽

at 480.31

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred) — 484.05 ₽ +3.74 ₽ per item · on the market 242 · buy 0.4500–0.5565
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred) — 489.30 ₽ +8.99 ₽ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.4500–0.5565

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Well-Worn

any lot

320.00 ₽

at 320.00

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Entombed (Well-Worn) — 335.80 ₽ +15.80 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) — 355.48 ₽ +35.48 ₽ per item · on the market 813 · buy 0.1500–0.3800

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 642.79 ₽ +49.38 (+1.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

5 074.77 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

6 216.63 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Well-Worn

float up to 0.393749

3 034.04 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 263.21 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −467.82 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −144.39 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3258211 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 50.47₽ · invest 4 601.36₽
Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested) instead of M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.501114 instead of 0.556506
Craft 3257910 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 49.93₽ · invest 4 696.94₽
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) instead of M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.513888 instead of 0.556506
Craft 3258483 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 47.87₽ · invest 4 563.57₽
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Battle-Scarred) instead of M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.556506
Craft 3255873 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 46.75₽ · invest 4 707.08₽
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) instead of M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.497361 instead of 0.556506

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build