The Falchion Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1.78 $

at 0.59

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 0.62 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 433 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 0.89 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 149 · buy 0.0000–0.0520
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.74 $ +1.14 $ per item · on the market 818 · buy 0.0000–0.0341

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

2.68 $

at 0.89

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 1.55 $ +0.66 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.74 $ +0.84 $ per item · on the market 818 · buy 0.0000–0.0024
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 1.83 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0053

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

0.29 $

at 0.29

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 0.40 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 1 997 · buy 0.1500–0.1623
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) — 0.58 $ +0.29 $ per item · on the market 440 · buy 0.0700–0.1212
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.77 $ per item · on the market 652 · buy 0.0700–0.1396

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1.74 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.76 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 522 · buy 0.0700–0.0995
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 652 · buy 0.0700–0.0855
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.20 $ +0.63 $ per item · on the market 949 · buy 0.0700–0.0995

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.49 $ +2.28 (+35.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

1.79 $

at 0.89

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 1.55 $ +0.66 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.74 $ +0.84 $ per item · on the market 818 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 1.83 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0074

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1.74 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.76 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 522 · buy 0.0700–0.1017
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 652 · buy 0.0700–0.0875
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.20 $ +0.63 $ per item · on the market 949 · buy 0.0700–0.1017

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

3.80 $

at 0.76

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.20 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 949 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) — 2.40 $ +1.65 $ per item · on the market 663 · buy 0.0000–0.0567
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 4.01 $ +3.25 $ per item · on the market 272 · buy 0.0000–0.0653

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.33 $ +3.59 (+49.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

2.68 $

at 0.89

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 1.55 $ +0.66 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.74 $ +0.84 $ per item · on the market 818 · buy 0.0000–0.0030
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 1.83 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

3.48 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.76 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 522 · buy 0.0700–0.1008
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 652 · buy 0.0700–0.0867
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.20 $ +0.63 $ per item · on the market 949 · buy 0.0700–0.1008

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

0.76 $

at 0.76

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.20 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 949 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) — 2.40 $ +1.65 $ per item · on the market 663 · buy 0.0000–0.0561
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 4.01 $ +3.25 $ per item · on the market 272 · buy 0.0000–0.0647

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.92 $ +3.46 (+50.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

0.59 $

at 0.59

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 0.62 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 433 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 0.89 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 149 · buy 0.0000–0.0526
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.74 $ +1.14 $ per item · on the market 818 · buy 0.0000–0.0346

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

2.68 $

at 0.89

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 1.55 $ +0.66 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.74 $ +0.84 $ per item · on the market 818 · buy 0.0000–0.0030
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 1.83 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

3.48 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.76 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 522 · buy 0.0700–0.1008
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 652 · buy 0.0700–0.0867
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.20 $ +0.63 $ per item · on the market 949 · buy 0.0700–0.1008

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.76 $ +3.09 (+45.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

0.89 $

at 0.89

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 1.55 $ +0.66 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.74 $ +0.84 $ per item · on the market 818 · buy 0.0000–0.0025
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 1.83 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0000–0.0054

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

0.58 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.76 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 522 · buy 0.0700–0.0996
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 652 · buy 0.0700–0.0856
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.20 $ +0.63 $ per item · on the market 949 · buy 0.0700–0.0996

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

6.08 $

at 0.76

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.20 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 949 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) — 2.40 $ +1.65 $ per item · on the market 663 · buy 0.0000–0.0555
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 4.01 $ +3.25 $ per item · on the market 272 · buy 0.0000–0.0639

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.55 $ +3.91 (+51.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

9.55 $ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.70 $ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

17.14 $ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

6.00 $ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16.78 $ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

8.90 $ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

5.37 $ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

0.98 $ 12.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 1.78 → 4.02 $

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 2.68 → 6.06 $

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.29 → 0.62 $

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 1.74 → 3.93 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.048999, 0.069999, 0.125799, 0.041999, 0.069999, 0.036399, 0.034999, 0.175699

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.92 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.86 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3270089 · The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.07$ · invest 5.75$
rare inputs

MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074068 instead of 0.074303

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build

What you get 8 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build