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The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −3 221.55₴

Invest at least 9 614.16₴

Average return 6 392.61₴

ROI −33.5%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 9 614.16 ₴, profit at most −3 221.55 ₴

float premium: at least 5 605 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +3 571.45 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

2 158.95 ₴

at 308.42

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 363.29 ₴ +54.87 ₴ per item · on the market 380 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 382.90 ₴ +74.48 ₴ per item · on the market 446 · buy 0.0700–0.0753

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

670.64 ₴

at 670.64

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Searing Rage (Factory New) — 904.49 ₴ +233.85 ₴ per item · on the market 172 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) — 973.95 ₴ +303.31 ₴ per item · on the market 128 · buy 0.0000–0.0047

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

1 203.74 ₴

at 601.87

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 1 315.75 ₴ +713.89 ₴ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0000–0.0536
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 1 440.41 ₴ +838.54 ₴ per item · on the market 218 · buy 0.0700–0.0912

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 033.33 ₴ +2 359.28 (+58.5%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0798

925.26 ₴

at 308.42

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 363.29 ₴ +54.87 ₴ per item · on the market 380 · buy 0.0700–0.0798
AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 382.90 ₴ +74.48 ₴ per item · on the market 446 · buy 0.0700–0.0798

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

1 341.28 ₴

at 670.64

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Searing Rage (Factory New) — 904.49 ₴ +233.85 ₴ per item · on the market 172 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) — 973.95 ₴ +303.31 ₴ per item · on the market 128 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0798

3 009.34 ₴

at 601.87

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 1 315.75 ₴ +713.89 ₴ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0000–0.0567
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 1 440.41 ₴ +838.54 ₴ per item · on the market 218 · buy 0.0700–0.0953

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 275.88 ₴ +2 784.25 (+52.8%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

616.84 ₴

at 308.42

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 363.29 ₴ +54.87 ₴ per item · on the market 380 · buy 0.0700–0.0789
AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 382.90 ₴ +74.48 ₴ per item · on the market 446 · buy 0.0700–0.0789

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

1 341.28 ₴

at 670.64

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Searing Rage (Factory New) — 904.49 ₴ +233.85 ₴ per item · on the market 172 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) — 973.95 ₴ +303.31 ₴ per item · on the market 128 · buy 0.0000–0.0078

Steam

×6

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

3 611.21 ₴

at 601.87

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 1 315.75 ₴ +713.89 ₴ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0000–0.0561
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 1 440.41 ₴ +838.54 ₴ per item · on the market 218 · buy 0.0700–0.0945

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 569.33 ₴ +3 046.65 (+54.7%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

308.42 ₴

at 308.42

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 363.29 ₴ +54.87 ₴ per item · on the market 380 · buy 0.0700–0.0781
AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 382.90 ₴ +74.48 ₴ per item · on the market 446 · buy 0.0700–0.0781

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

1 341.28 ₴

at 670.64

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Searing Rage (Factory New) — 904.49 ₴ +233.85 ₴ per item · on the market 172 · buy 0.0000–0.0071
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) — 973.95 ₴ +303.31 ₴ per item · on the market 128 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

×7

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

4 213.07 ₴

at 601.87

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 1 315.75 ₴ +713.89 ₴ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0000–0.0555
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 1 440.41 ₴ +838.54 ₴ per item · on the market 218 · buy 0.0700–0.0937

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 862.78 ₴ +3 309.05 (+56.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

1 341.28 ₴

at 670.64

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Searing Rage (Factory New) — 904.49 ₴ +233.85 ₴ per item · on the market 172 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) — 973.95 ₴ +303.31 ₴ per item · on the market 128 · buy 0.0000–0.0063

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

4 814.94 ₴

at 601.87

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 1 315.75 ₴ +713.89 ₴ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0000–0.0549
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 1 440.41 ₴ +838.54 ₴ per item · on the market 218 · buy 0.0700–0.0930

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 156.22 ₴ +3 571.45 (+58.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 097.02 ₴ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 049.09 ₴ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 561.57 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 368.95 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 only The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 418.64 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 008.67 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build