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The Fracture Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +406.68₽

Invest 6 699.08₽

Average return 7 105.76₽

ROI +6.1%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 16 602.44 ₽, profit at most −9 496.68 ₽

float premium: at least 8 977 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

4 537.08 ₽

at 504.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) — 891.45 ₽ +387.33 ₽ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.0700–0.1113
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 992.07 ₽ +487.95 ₽ per item · on the market 85 · buy 0.0700–0.1144

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4916

2 162.00 ₽

at 2 162.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) — 2 783.00 ₽ +621.00 ₽ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.1500–0.3512
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) — 2 961.03 ₽ +799.03 ₽ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 699.08 ₽ +406.68 (+6.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 5%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.131249

4 245.55 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 758.96 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

4 160.40 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

51 231.54 ₽ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −568.96 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +149.44 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build