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The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −3.89$

Invest at least 12.69$

Average return 8.80$

ROI −30.7%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 12.69 $, profit at most −3.89 $

float premium: at least 7 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×2

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

1.85 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.02 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 202 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 1.11 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 274 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 1.72 $ +0.79 $ per item · on the market 243 · buy 0.0000–0.0039

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

2.03 $

at 0.41

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.53 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0700–0.0926
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.95 $ +0.55 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0463
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.97 $ +0.56 $ per item · on the market 185 · buy 0.0700–0.0926

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.59 $

at 0.53

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.95 $ +0.42 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0370
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.97 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 185 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 1.03 $ +0.50 $ per item · on the market 302 · buy 0.0000–0.0370

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.47 $ +3.33 (+60.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×3

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

2.78 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.02 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 202 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 1.11 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 274 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 1.72 $ +0.79 $ per item · on the market 243 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

2.84 $

at 0.41

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.53 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0700–0.0953
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.95 $ +0.55 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0476
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.97 $ +0.56 $ per item · on the market 185 · buy 0.0700–0.0953

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.62 $ +3.18 (+56.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

AUG | Amber Slipstream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

1.10 $

at 0.55

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) — 0.64 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.0968
MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 0.67 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0700–0.0968
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) — 0.76 $ +0.21 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.1383

Steam

×4

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

3.71 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.02 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 202 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 1.11 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 274 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 1.72 $ +0.79 $ per item · on the market 243 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

1.62 $

at 0.41

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.53 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0700–0.0951
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.95 $ +0.55 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0475
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.97 $ +0.56 $ per item · on the market 185 · buy 0.0700–0.0951

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.43 $ +2.37 (+36.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

AUG | Amber Slipstream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

2.21 $

at 0.55

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) — 0.64 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.0967
MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 0.67 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0700–0.0967
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) — 0.76 $ +0.21 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.1381

Steam

×5

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

4.64 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.02 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 202 · buy 0.0000–0.0073
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 1.11 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 274 · buy 0.0000–0.0073
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 1.72 $ +0.79 $ per item · on the market 243 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

0.41 $

at 0.41

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.53 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0700–0.0949
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.95 $ +0.55 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0474
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.97 $ +0.56 $ per item · on the market 185 · buy 0.0700–0.0949

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.25 $ +1.56 (+21.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

0.64 $

at 0.64

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 0.67 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 186 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) — 0.76 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.1075
P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) — 0.81 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.0700–0.1075

Steam

×3

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

2.78 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.02 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 202 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 1.11 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 274 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 1.72 $ +0.79 $ per item · on the market 243 · buy 0.0000–0.0050

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

2.43 $

at 0.41

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.53 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0700–0.0941
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.95 $ +0.55 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0470
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.97 $ +0.56 $ per item · on the market 185 · buy 0.0700–0.0941

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.85 $ +2.95 (+50.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 20%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

21.94 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.15 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

5.26 $ 20.00%

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

6.09 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

7.60 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11.84 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

8.29 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

10.05 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Toy Soldier

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12.91 $ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.78 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.89 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3250865 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.46$ · invest 4.55$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3254415 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.33$ · invest 5.55$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3263449 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.30$ · invest 4.60$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3268695 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.24$ · invest 4.95$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3271701 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3.21$ · invest 4.24$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear), Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3
Craft 3253621 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.20$ · invest 4.28$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074430 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3271729 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3.15$ · invest 4.38$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3252487 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.11$ · invest 4.13$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074537 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074537 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3271765 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3.08$ · invest 4.68$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3259634 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.96$ · invest 5.40$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3249970 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.89$ · invest 4.84$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3256609 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.84$ · invest 4.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074793 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074793 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3240852 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.80$ · invest 5.16$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074185 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074185 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3262097 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.73$ · invest 4.80$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3252488 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.71$ · invest 4.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074282 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074282 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3269550 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.66$ · invest 3.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074072 instead of 0.074117

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build