The Kilowatt Collection
+ The Train 2025 Collection
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted
About the craftCraft 3267174 · ways to build: 5The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 5% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×6
MAC-10 | Light Box
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1623
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
23.68 ₴
at 3.95
if this one runs out, you can take
SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 4.07 ₴+0.13 ₴ per item · on the market 2 943 · buy0.1500–0.1623
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear) — 5.85 ₴+1.90 ₴ per item · on the market 1 757 · buy0.0700–0.1133
Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) — 5.92 ₴+1.98 ₴ per item · on the market 1 307 · buy0.0700–0.1133
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162322f′ (normalized) 0.162322wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 954 · good ≈ 3
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 664) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×2
SSG 08 | Dezastre
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0742
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
14.01 ₴
at 7.01
if this one runs out, you can take
MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear) — 9.91 ₴+2.90 ₴ per item · on the market 1 546 · buy0.0700–0.0742
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) — 12.47 ₴+5.46 ₴ per item · on the market 1 279 · buy0.0000–0.0518
Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) — 12.47 ₴+5.46 ₴ per item · on the market 1 519 · buy0.0000–0.0518
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074285f′ (normalized) 0.074285wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 1 156 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · among lots up to 9.20 ₴ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 273) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×2
FAMAS | 2A2F
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1623
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
20.95 ₴
at 10.47
if this one runs out, you can take
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) — 13.00 ₴+2.53 ₴ per item · on the market 1 067 · buy0.1500–0.1887
Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 18.01 ₴+7.53 ₴ per item · on the market 1 997 · buy0.1500–0.1887
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) — 26.21 ₴+15.73 ₴ per item · on the market 440 · buy0.0700–0.1409
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162322f′ (normalized) 0.188746wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 324 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 308 · from 20.34 ₴ (float 0.1524) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs58.64 ₴
+4.78
(+8.2%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×3
MAC-10 | Light Box
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1648
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
11.84 ₴
at 3.95
if this one runs out, you can take
SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 4.07 ₴+0.13 ₴ per item · on the market 2 943 · buy0.1500–0.1648
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear) — 5.85 ₴+1.90 ₴ per item · on the market 1 757 · buy0.0700–0.1151
Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) — 5.92 ₴+1.98 ₴ per item · on the market 1 307 · buy0.0700–0.1151
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164846f′ (normalized) 0.164846wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 954 · good ≈ 3
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 664 · from 8.58 ₴ (float 0.1630) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×4
Dual Berettas | Hideout
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0751
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
23.39 ₴
at 5.85
if this one runs out, you can take
Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) — 5.92 ₴+0.08 ₴ per item · on the market 1 307 · buy0.0700–0.0751
Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) — 6.58 ₴+0.73 ₴ per item · on the market 1 349 · buy0.0700–0.0968
XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear) — 6.72 ₴+0.88 ₴ per item · on the market 1 363 · buy0.0700–0.0860
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075164f′ (normalized) 0.107603wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 1 757 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 208 · from 35.25 ₴ (float 0.0745) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×3
FAMAS | 2A2F
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1648
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
31.42 ₴
at 10.47
if this one runs out, you can take
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) — 13.00 ₴+2.53 ₴ per item · on the market 1 067 · buy0.1500–0.1916
Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 18.01 ₴+7.53 ₴ per item · on the market 1 997 · buy0.1500–0.1916
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) — 26.21 ₴+15.73 ₴ per item · on the market 440 · buy0.0700–0.1431
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164846f′ (normalized) 0.191682wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 324 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 10 of 308 · from 20.34 ₴ (float 0.1524) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs66.65 ₴
+11.84
(+17.8%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×1
Dual Berettas | Hideout
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0748
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
5.85 ₴
at 5.85
if this one runs out, you can take
Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) — 5.92 ₴+0.08 ₴ per item · on the market 1 307 · buy0.0700–0.0748
Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) — 6.58 ₴+0.73 ₴ per item · on the market 1 349 · buy0.0700–0.0964
XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear) — 6.72 ₴+0.88 ₴ per item · on the market 1 363 · buy0.0700–0.0856
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074831f′ (normalized) 0.107127wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 1 757 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 208 · from 35.25 ₴ (float 0.0745) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×3
Tec-9 | Slag
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0748
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
19.74 ₴
at 6.58
if this one runs out, you can take
SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 7.01 ₴+0.43 ₴ per item · on the market 1 156 · buy0.0700–0.0831
MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear) — 9.91 ₴+3.33 ₴ per item · on the market 1 546 · buy0.0700–0.0831
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) — 12.47 ₴+5.89 ₴ per item · on the market 1 279 · buy0.0000–0.0580
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074831f′ (normalized) 0.083146wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 1 349 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 250 · from 69.15 ₴ (float 0.0732) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×6
FAMAS | 2A2F
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1638
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
62.85 ₴
at 10.47
if this one runs out, you can take
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) — 13.00 ₴+2.53 ₴ per item · on the market 1 067 · buy0.1500–0.1905
Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 18.01 ₴+7.53 ₴ per item · on the market 1 997 · buy0.1500–0.1905
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) — 26.21 ₴+15.73 ₴ per item · on the market 440 · buy0.0700–0.1422
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163891f′ (normalized) 0.190571wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 324 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 10 of 308 · from 20.34 ₴ (float 0.1524) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs88.43 ₴
+35.27
(+39.9%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×2
MAC-10 | Light Box
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1633
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
7.89 ₴
at 3.95
if this one runs out, you can take
SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 4.07 ₴+0.13 ₴ per item · on the market 2 943 · buy0.1500–0.1633
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear) — 5.85 ₴+1.90 ₴ per item · on the market 1 757 · buy0.0700–0.1140
Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) — 5.92 ₴+1.98 ₴ per item · on the market 1 307 · buy0.0700–0.1140
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163311f′ (normalized) 0.163311wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 954 · good ≈ 3
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 664 · from 8.58 ₴ (float 0.1630) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×3
SSG 08 | Dezastre
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0746
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
21.02 ₴
at 7.01
if this one runs out, you can take
MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear) — 9.91 ₴+2.90 ₴ per item · on the market 1 546 · buy0.0700–0.0746
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) — 12.47 ₴+5.46 ₴ per item · on the market 1 279 · buy0.0000–0.0521
Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) — 12.47 ₴+5.46 ₴ per item · on the market 1 519 · buy0.0000–0.0521
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074630f′ (normalized) 0.074630wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 1 156 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · among lots up to 9.20 ₴ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 273) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×5
FAMAS | 2A2F
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1633
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
52.37 ₴
at 10.47
if this one runs out, you can take
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) — 13.00 ₴+2.53 ₴ per item · on the market 1 067 · buy0.1500–0.1898
Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 18.01 ₴+7.53 ₴ per item · on the market 1 997 · buy0.1500–0.1898
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) — 26.21 ₴+15.73 ₴ per item · on the market 440 · buy0.0700–0.1417
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163311f′ (normalized) 0.189897wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 324 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 9 of 308 · from 20.34 ₴ (float 0.1524) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs81.28 ₴
+27.35
(+33.6%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×2
Tec-9 | Slag
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0745
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
13.16 ₴
at 6.58
if this one runs out, you can take
SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 7.01 ₴+0.43 ₴ per item · on the market 1 156 · buy0.0700–0.0828
MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear) — 9.91 ₴+3.33 ₴ per item · on the market 1 546 · buy0.0700–0.0828
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) — 12.47 ₴+5.89 ₴ per item · on the market 1 279 · buy0.0000–0.0578
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074595f′ (normalized) 0.082884wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 1 349 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 250 · from 69.15 ₴ (float 0.0732) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
Dual Berettas | Hideout
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0040
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
12.47 ₴
at 12.47
if this one runs out, you can take
Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) — 12.47 ₴ · on the market 1 519 · buy0.0000–0.0040
XM1014 | Irezumi (Factory New) — 16.08 ₴+3.61 ₴ per item · on the market 1 641 · buy0.0000–0.0046
UMP-45 | Motorized (Factory New) — 18.19 ₴+5.72 ₴ per item · on the market 665 · buy0.0000–0.0046
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004021f′ (normalized) 0.005756wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 1 279 · good ≈ 17
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 19.12 ₴
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 90) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×7
FAMAS | 2A2F
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1632
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
73.32 ₴
at 10.47
if this one runs out, you can take
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) — 13.00 ₴+2.53 ₴ per item · on the market 1 067 · buy0.1500–0.1897
Glock-18 | Green Line (Field-Tested) — 18.01 ₴+7.53 ₴ per item · on the market 1 997 · buy0.1500–0.1897
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) — 26.21 ₴+15.73 ₴ per item · on the market 440 · buy0.0700–0.1416
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163212f′ (normalized) 0.189782wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 324 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 9 of 308 · from 20.34 ₴ (float 0.1524) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs98.95 ₴
+39.82
(+40.2%)
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
8 outcomes
Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%
at a loss
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.149999
36.78 ₴16.00%
SteamFive-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)net 31.98 ₴sells 1032 a weeknow 36.78 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 42.39 ₴sell now to a buy order: 35.19 ₴
(you get 30.59 ₴)) · buy orders: 27916
sell on Market.CSGO: 26.89 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 29.49 · lots 153
on CSFloat: from 26.66 ₴listings: 169
on CS.Money: ~ 28.48 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 26.66 ₴listings: 368
at a loss
Glock-18 | Block-18
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.100781
38.95 ₴16.00%
SteamGlock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)net 33.87 ₴sells 1814 a weeknow 38.95 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 45.43 ₴sell now to a buy order: 37.74 ₴
(you get 32.81 ₴)) · buy orders: 30597
sell on Market.CSGO: 30.43 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 33.37 · lots 249
on CSFloat: from 30.73 ₴listings: 486
on CS.Money: ~ 28.48 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 31.19 ₴listings: 554
at a loss
M4A4 | Etch Lord
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.149999
46.79 ₴16.00%
SteamM4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)net 40.69 ₴sells 1546 a weeknow 46.79 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 50.23 ₴sell now to a buy order: 42.33 ₴
(you get 36.80 ₴)) · buy orders: 35822
sell on Market.CSGO: 31.91 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 34.99 · lots 229
on CSFloat: from 30.28 ₴listings: 144
on CS.Money: ~ 32.99 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 31.19 ₴listings: 326
at a loss
MP7 | Just Smile
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.149999
40.13 ₴16.00%
SteamMP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)net 34.90 ₴sells 1112 a weeknow 40.13 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 46.74 ₴sell now to a buy order: 39.78 ₴
(you get 34.58 ₴)) · buy orders: 21843
sell on Market.CSGO: 30.61 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 33.57 · lots 153
on CSFloat: from 27.57 ₴listings: 134
on CS.Money: ~ 29.83 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 30.28 ₴listings: 376
at a loss
worst
Sawed-Off | Analog Input
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.092828
28.71 ₴16.00%
SteamSawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)net 24.96 ₴sells 1541 a weeknow 28.71 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 31.14 ₴sell now to a buy order: 24.99 ₴
(you get 21.73 ₴)) · buy orders: 24758
sell on Market.CSGO: 19.76 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 21.68 · lots 158
on CSFloat: from 19.44 ₴listings: 158
on CS.Money: ~ 18.98 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 19.44 ₴listings: 427
in profit
MAC-10 | Derailment
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.104999
220.01 ₴6.67%
SteamMAC-10 | Derailment (Minimal Wear)net 191.32 ₴The Train 2025 Collectionsells 175 a weeknow 220.01 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 252.03 ₴sell now to a buy order: 191.75 ₴
(you get 166.74 ₴)) · buy orders: 1842
sell on Market.CSGO: 171.85 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 188.43 · lots 27
on CSFloat: from 174.46 ₴listings: 279
on CS.Money: ~ 162.26 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 169.48 ₴listings: 218
in profit
best
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.149999
289.05 ₴6.67%
SteamZeus x27 | Charged Up (Minimal Wear)net 251.35 ₴The Train 2025 Collectionsells 66 a weekmonth average 289.05 ₴, sold 226 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 290.69 ₴
(you get 252.77 ₴)) · buy orders: 2174
sell on Market.CSGO: 293.49 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 321.81 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 234.57 ₴listings: 138
on CS.Money: ~ 258.97 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 241.35 ₴listings: 206
in profit
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Field-Tested
float up to 0.200999
125.67 ₴6.67%
SteamTec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested)net 109.27 ₴The Train 2025 Collectionsells 228 a weeknow 125.67 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 142.23 ₴sell now to a buy order: 125.45 ₴
(you get 109.09 ₴)) · buy orders: 3299
sell on Market.CSGO: 88.41 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 96.95 · lots 181
on CSFloat: from 89.03 ₴listings: 725
on CS.Money: ~ 97.17 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 86.32 ₴listings: 662
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested) × 65% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.5123.68 → 59.43 ₴
SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) × 25% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.2114.01 → 30.96 ₴
FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested) × 25% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.2120.95 → 46.30 ₴
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.149999900
outcomes come out up to 0.149999, 0.100781, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.092828, 0.104999, 0.149999, 0.200999
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−2.14 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+2.08 ₴historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Kilowatt Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.