StatTrak™
Restricted → Classified
About the craftCraft 3270789 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 9% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×3
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0775
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
284.79 ₽
at 94.93
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Minimal Wear) — 108.30 ₽+13.37 ₽ per item · on the market 108 · buy0.0700–0.0834
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) — 121.99 ₽+27.06 ₽ per item · on the market 110 · buy0.0700–0.0834
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Minimal Wear) — 147.00 ₽+52.07 ₽ per item · on the market 131 · buy0.0700–0.1192
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077527f′ (normalized) 0.119273wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 158 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · among lots up to 149.96 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 48 · from 852.20 ₽ (float 0.0751) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0065
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
1 071.00 ₽
at 178.50
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New) — 243.37 ₽+64.87 ₽ per item · on the market 100 · buy0.0000–0.0070
StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New) — 245.75 ₽+67.25 ₽ per item · on the market 101 · buy0.0000–0.0070
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) — 489.99 ₽+311.49 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0000–0.0101
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006586f′ (normalized) 0.010133wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 66 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 66 · from 880.74 ₽ (float 0.0045) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1716
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
276.00 ₽
at 276.00
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) — 380.89 ₽+104.89 ₽ per item · on the market 18 · buy0.0700–0.1266
StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire (Minimal Wear) — 466.21 ₽+190.21 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0700–0.1125
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Field-Tested) — 510.00 ₽+234.00 ₽ per item · on the market 44 · buy0.1500–0.2251
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.171641f′ (normalized) 0.281379wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 44 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 53 · from 387.36 ₽ (float 0.1627) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs1 631.79 ₽
+659.89
(+40.4%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −3 838 ₽
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −3 838 ₽: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New), StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 9% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0063
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
178.50 ₽
at 178.50
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New) — 243.37 ₽+64.87 ₽ per item · on the market 100 · buy0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New) — 245.75 ₽+67.25 ₽ per item · on the market 101 · buy0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) — 489.99 ₽+311.49 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0000–0.0098
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006376f′ (normalized) 0.009810wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 66 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 66 · from 880.74 ₽ (float 0.0045) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×5
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0772
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
2 499.95 ₽
at 499.99
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 775.95 ₽+275.96 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0570
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) — 891.06 ₽+391.07 ₽ per item · on the market 26 · buy0.0700–0.1267
StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 945.00 ₽+445.01 ₽ per item · on the market 22 · buy0.0000–0.0506
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077287f′ (normalized) 0.126701wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 15 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 33 · from 596.13 ₽ (float 0.0715) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0063
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
3 103.80 ₽
at 775.95
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 944.15 ₽+168.20 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0086
StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 945.00 ₽+169.05 ₽ per item · on the market 22 · buy0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 2 772.60 ₽+1 996.65 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0000–0.0113
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006376f′ (normalized) 0.014170wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 30 · from 1 302.36 ₽ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs5 782.25 ₽
+105.51
(+1.8%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −32 ₽
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −32 ₽: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New), StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0749
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
94.93 ₽
at 94.93
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Minimal Wear) — 108.30 ₽+13.37 ₽ per item · on the market 108 · buy0.0700–0.0806
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) — 121.99 ₽+27.06 ₽ per item · on the market 110 · buy0.0700–0.0806
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Minimal Wear) — 147.00 ₽+52.07 ₽ per item · on the market 131 · buy0.0700–0.1152
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074929f′ (normalized) 0.115276wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 158 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · among lots up to 149.96 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 48) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×7
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0043
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
1 249.50 ₽
at 178.50
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New) — 243.37 ₽+64.87 ₽ per item · on the market 100 · buy0.0000–0.0046
StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New) — 245.75 ₽+67.25 ₽ per item · on the market 101 · buy0.0000–0.0046
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) — 489.99 ₽+311.49 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0000–0.0066
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004313f′ (normalized) 0.006635wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 66 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 66) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1641
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
552.00 ₽
at 276.00
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) — 380.89 ₽+104.89 ₽ per item · on the market 18 · buy0.0700–0.1211
StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire (Minimal Wear) — 466.21 ₽+190.21 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0700–0.1076
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Field-Tested) — 510.00 ₽+234.00 ₽ per item · on the market 44 · buy0.1500–0.2153
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164172f′ (normalized) 0.269135wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 44 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 53 · from 387.36 ₽ (float 0.1627) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs1 896.43 ₽
+844.76
(+44.5%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −707 ₽
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −707 ₽: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New), StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×6
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0040
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
1 071.00 ₽
at 178.50
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New) — 243.37 ₽+64.87 ₽ per item · on the market 100 · buy0.0000–0.0043
StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New) — 245.75 ₽+67.25 ₽ per item · on the market 101 · buy0.0000–0.0043
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) — 489.99 ₽+311.49 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0000–0.0061
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004011f′ (normalized) 0.006171wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 66 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 66) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0745
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1 523.56 ₽
at 380.89
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) — 499.99 ₽+119.10 ₽ per item · on the market 15 · buy0.0700–0.1011
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested) — 530.00 ₽+149.11 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy0.1500–0.1657
StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 945.00 ₽+564.11 ₽ per item · on the market 22 · buy0.0000–0.0662
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074584f′ (normalized) 0.165742wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 41 · from 345.77 ₽ (float 0.0736) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs2 594.56 ₽
+1 045.65
(+40.3%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −1 293 ₽
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 293 ₽: StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New), StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×5
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0038
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
892.50 ₽
at 178.50
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New) — 243.37 ₽+64.87 ₽ per item · on the market 100 · buy0.0000–0.0041
StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New) — 245.75 ₽+67.25 ₽ per item · on the market 101 · buy0.0000–0.0041
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) — 489.99 ₽+311.49 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0000–0.0059
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003874f′ (normalized) 0.005960wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 66 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 66) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0744
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1 523.56 ₽
at 380.89
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) — 499.99 ₽+119.10 ₽ per item · on the market 15 · buy0.0700–0.1008
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested) — 530.00 ₽+149.11 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy0.1500–0.1653
StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 945.00 ₽+564.11 ₽ per item · on the market 22 · buy0.0000–0.0661
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074428f′ (normalized) 0.165395wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 18 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 41 · from 345.77 ₽ (float 0.0736) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0038
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
775.95 ₽
at 775.95
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 944.15 ₽+168.20 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0052
StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 945.00 ₽+169.05 ₽ per item · on the market 22 · buy0.0000–0.0034
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 2 772.60 ₽+1 996.65 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0000–0.0068
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003874f′ (normalized) 0.008610wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 30) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs3 192.01 ₽
+897.71
(+28.1%)
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
6 outcomes
Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%
in profit
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled
Factory New
float up to 0.053899
2 967.34 ₽30.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New)net 2 580.30 ₽sells 23 a weeknow 2 967.34 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 3 229.80 ₽sell now to a buy order: 2 958.36 ₽
(you get 2 572.48 ₽)) · buy orders: 3239
sell on Market.CSGO: 2 578.63 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 2 827.45 · lots 35
on CSFloat: from 2 356.80 ₽listings: 151
on CS.Money: ~ 2 616.13 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 2 604.71 ₽listings: 125
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions
Factory New
float up to 0.048999
1 254.03 ₽30.00%
SteamStatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New)net 1 090.46 ₽sells 17 a weeknow 1 254.03 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 1 261.79 ₽sell now to a buy order: 1 122.61 ₽
(you get 976.18 ₽)) · buy orders: 4361
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 345.36 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 1 475.18 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 917.44 ₽listings: 115
on CS.Money: ~ 996.54 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 1 025.90 ₽listings: 67
in profit
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
2 134.12 ₽30.00%
SteamStatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New)net 1 855.76 ₽sells 7 a weeknow 2 134.12 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 2 463.94 ₽sell now to a buy order: 2 036.34 ₽
(you get 1 770.73 ₽)) · buy orders: 1023
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 908.02 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 2 092.13 · lots 19
on CSFloat: from 1 776.98 ₽listings: 64
on CS.Money: ~ 1 882.18 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 1 857.71 ₽listings: 53
in profit
StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
6 746.71 ₽3.33%
rarely sells
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Factory New)net 5 866.70 ₽The Wildfire Collectionsells 2 a weekrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 746.71 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 746.71 ₽
(you get 5 866.70 ₽)) · buy orders: 703
sell on Market.CSGO: 6 743.30 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 7 393.98 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 5 958.06 ₽listings: 30
on CS.Money: ~ 6 665.10 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 6 281.81 ₽listings: 47
month average 9 353.82 ₽, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 8 917.39 ₽
(you get 7 754.25 ₽)) · buy orders: 344
sell on Market.CSGO: 8 215.93 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 9 008.70 · lots 16
on CSFloat: from 7 726.07 ₽listings: 35
on CS.Money: ~ 8 168.07 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 7 805.99 ₽listings: 56
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 763.04 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 763.04 ₽
(you get 5 011.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 414
sell on Market.CSGO: 6 018.27 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 6 598.99 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 5 229.00 ₽listings: 18
on CS.Money: ~ 5 829.21 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 6 099.96 ₽listings: 27
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) × 39% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.26284.79 → 643.63 ₽
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) × 69% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.511 071.00 → 2 688.21 ₽
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested) × 19% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16276.00 → 596.16 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.069999900
outcomes come out up to 0.053899, 0.048999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.053199, 0.041999
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+325.48 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+591.81 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3268326
· The Operation Riptide Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 707.39₽
· invest 1 578.52₽
sells slowlyrare inputs
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077259 instead of 0.077527; StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New): float at most 0.006351 instead of 0.006586
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.