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Crafts · The Shadow Collection

prices updated 23.10 01:50 MSK

₴≈

The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +276.46₴

Invest 357.54₴

Average return 634.00₴

ROI +77.3%

Chance of profit 44%

With float: invest at least 886.67 ₴, profit at most −252.67 ₴

float premium: at least 513 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

40.31 ₴

at 40.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 61.19 ₴ +20.88 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.0000–0.0467
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 71.58 ₴ +31.27 ₴ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0700–0.0934
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 90.20 ₴ +49.89 ₴ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0467

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

266.02 ₴

at 33.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 34.31 ₴ +1.06 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 51.20 ₴ +17.95 ₴ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0373
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +24.45 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0373

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

51.20 ₴

at 51.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +6.50 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0041
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 67.58 ₴ +16.38 ₴ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 108.64 ₴ +57.44 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 357.54 ₴ +276.46 (+77.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

282.16 ₴

at 40.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 61.19 ₴ +20.88 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.0000–0.0476
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 71.58 ₴ +31.27 ₴ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0700–0.0953
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 90.20 ₴ +49.89 ₴ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0476

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

61.19 ₴

at 61.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 90.20 ₴ +29.01 ₴ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) — 90.97 ₴ +29.78 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0087
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Factory New) — 139.08 ₴ +77.89 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

102.41 ₴

at 51.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +6.50 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 67.58 ₴ +16.38 ₴ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 108.64 ₴ +57.44 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 445.76 ₴ +202.84 (+45.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −62 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

282.16 ₴

at 40.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 61.19 ₴ +20.88 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.0000–0.0476
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 71.58 ₴ +31.27 ₴ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0700–0.0953
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 90.20 ₴ +49.89 ₴ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0476

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

122.38 ₴

at 61.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 90.20 ₴ +29.01 ₴ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) — 90.97 ₴ +29.78 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0087
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Factory New) — 139.08 ₴ +77.89 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

51.20 ₴

at 51.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +6.50 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 67.58 ₴ +16.38 ₴ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 108.64 ₴ +57.44 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 455.74 ₴ +194.94 (+42.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

161.23 ₴

at 40.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 61.19 ₴ +20.88 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.0000–0.0472
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 71.58 ₴ +31.27 ₴ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0700–0.0944
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 90.20 ₴ +49.89 ₴ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0472

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

133.01 ₴

at 33.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 34.31 ₴ +1.06 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 51.20 ₴ +17.95 ₴ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0377
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +24.45 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0377

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

102.41 ₴

at 51.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +6.50 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0048
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 67.58 ₴ +16.38 ₴ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 108.64 ₴ +57.44 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0088

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 396.65 ₴ +243.60 (+61.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

40.31 ₴

at 40.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 61.19 ₴ +20.88 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.0000–0.0467
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 71.58 ₴ +31.27 ₴ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0700–0.0934
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 90.20 ₴ +49.89 ₴ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0467

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

61.19 ₴

at 61.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 90.20 ₴ +29.01 ₴ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0041
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) — 90.97 ₴ +29.78 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Factory New) — 139.08 ₴ +77.89 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0050

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

266.02 ₴

at 33.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 34.31 ₴ +1.06 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 51.20 ₴ +17.95 ₴ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0373
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 57.70 ₴ +24.45 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0373

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 367.52 ₴ +268.56 (+73.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 57%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 537.50 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.067899

533.20 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

179.33 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

174.79 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

208.65 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 449.89 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

687.21 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

240.48 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

625.16 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 only The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +179.89 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +257.23 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3259688 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 258.60₴ · invest 355.06₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.074772; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.005697 instead of 0.004176

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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