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Crafts · The Snakebite Collection

prices updated 23.10 01:50 MSK

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The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −9.08$

Invest at least 24.89$

Average return 15.82$

ROI −36.5%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 24.89 $, profit at most −9.08 $

float premium: at least 14 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

6.62 $

at 0.74

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 0.76 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0762
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 1.13 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0381
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 1.28 $ +0.54 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0381

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

3.46 $

at 3.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) — 4.40 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 5.09 $ +1.63 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0000–0.0027
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 5.52 $ +2.06 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0038

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.08 $ +5.73 (+56.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

1.38 $

at 0.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) — 0.49 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 77 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear) — 0.56 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0823
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Minimal Wear) — 0.69 $ +0.23 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.0823

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.47 $

at 0.74

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 0.76 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 1.13 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0375
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 1.28 $ +0.54 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0375

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

17.31 $

at 3.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) — 4.40 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
StatTrak™ P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 5.09 $ +1.63 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0000–0.0022
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 5.52 $ +2.06 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0031

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20.17 $ +2.99 (+14.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

1.38 $

at 0.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) — 0.49 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 77 · buy 0.1500–0.1633
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear) — 0.56 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0816
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Minimal Wear) — 0.69 $ +0.23 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.0816

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

3.16 $

at 3.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) — 3.46 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0597
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Minimal Wear) — 4.57 $ +1.40 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
StatTrak™ P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 5.09 $ +1.93 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0000–0.0298

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

20.78 $

at 3.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) — 4.40 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
StatTrak™ P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 5.09 $ +1.63 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0000–0.0020
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 5.52 $ +2.06 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0028

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.32 $ +1.51 (+6.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

0.80 $

at 0.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested) — 0.46 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.1500–0.1811
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) — 0.49 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 77 · buy 0.1500–0.1811
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear) — 0.56 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0905

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

2.94 $

at 0.74

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 0.76 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 1.13 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0372
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 1.28 $ +0.54 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0372

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

13.85 $

at 3.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) — 4.40 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
StatTrak™ P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 5.09 $ +1.63 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0000–0.0019
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 5.52 $ +2.06 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0027

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.60 $ +3.72 (+21.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1.13 $

at 0.56

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Minimal Wear) — 0.69 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) — 0.74 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.1489
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 0.76 $ +0.20 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.1489

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

3.68 $

at 0.74

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 0.76 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 1.13 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0372
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 1.28 $ +0.54 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0372

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

10.39 $

at 3.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) — 4.40 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
StatTrak™ P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 5.09 $ +1.63 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0000–0.0019
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 5.52 $ +2.06 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0027

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.19 $ +4.29 (+28.3%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 18%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56.14 $ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.067899

11.80 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.97 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

3.87 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

4.62 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.046599

58.85 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

15.52 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 only The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.39 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.32 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Snakebite Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3272272 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 6.10$ · invest 11.40$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New); StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.076256

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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