The Clutch Collection + The Breakout Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −162 215.01₸

Invest at least 577 321.71₸

Average return 415 106.64₸

ROI −28.1%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 577 321.71 ₸, profit at most −162 215.01 ₸

float premium: at least 320 014 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −153 162.04 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3

×4

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

150 675.48 ₸

at 37 668.87

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 46 871.63 ₸ +9 202.76 ₸ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

102 302.86 ₸

at 102 302.86

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 120 699.81 ₸ +18 396.96 ₸ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0152

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 252 978.34 ₸ +162 128.30 (+64.1%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 3.1% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3

×3

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

113 006.61 ₸

at 37 668.87

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 46 871.63 ₸ +9 202.76 ₸ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

×2

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

204 605.71 ₸

at 102 302.86

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 120 699.81 ₸ +18 396.96 ₸ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0144

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 317 612.33 ₸ +134 869.01 (+42.5%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2

×2

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

75 337.74 ₸

at 37 668.87

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 46 871.63 ₸ +9 202.76 ₸ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0103

Steam

×3

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

306 908.57 ₸

at 102 302.86

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 120 699.81 ₸ +18 396.96 ₸ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0136

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 382 246.31 ₸ +107 609.73 (+28.1%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2

×1

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

37 668.87 ₸

at 37 668.87

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 46 871.63 ₸ +9 202.76 ₸ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

×4

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

409 211.43 ₸

at 102 302.86

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 120 699.81 ₸ +18 396.96 ₸ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0130

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 446 880.30 ₸ +80 350.38 (+18.0%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 47%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 2%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118 077.70 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

469 040.08 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

167 289.41 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 433.08 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

165 532.21 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

333 994.78 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

270 664.54 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

124 253.29 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

503 163.31 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

944 741.54 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

136 177.84 ₸ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

65 382.00 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

713 781.74 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

82 349.65 ₸ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

419 962.15 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

284 336.13 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

558 900.80 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 633 033.86 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

900 182.51 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

220 706.25 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

89 926.95 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

186 435.76 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 941.09 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 861.64 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

839 870.27 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

540 109.50 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

454 929.71 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

445 546.48 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

587 017.99 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

315 140.39 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

401 026.80 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 986 356.22 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

596 109.87 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

382 577.58 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

423 085.80 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

640 249.82 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Clutch Collection + The Breakout Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Clutch Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 only The Clutch Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Clutch Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +144 670.27 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +159 981.01 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Clutch Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3273438 · The Breakout Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 162 128.33₸ · invest 252 978.34₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Clutch Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build