The Revolution Collection + The Glove Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −181 077.73₸

Invest at least 785 131.15₸

Average return 604 053.42₸

ROI −23.1%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 785 131.15 ₸, profit at most −181 077.73 ₸

float premium: at least 424 428 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +572 774.83 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 2.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −248 106.38 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈5

×4

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

180 089.69 ₸

at 45 022.42

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 45 787.88 ₸ +765.46 ₸ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0000–0.0090

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

166 305.12 ₸

at 166 305.12

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 238 583.30 ₸ +72 278.18 ₸ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0000–0.0157

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 346 394.80 ₸ +257 658.62 (+74.4%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.0% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈4

×3

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

135 067.26 ₸

at 45 022.42

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 45 787.88 ₸ +765.46 ₸ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

332 610.23 ₸

at 166 305.12

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 238 583.30 ₸ +72 278.18 ₸ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 467 677.50 ₸ +362 697.34 (+77.5%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.5% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈4

×2

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

90 044.84 ₸

at 45 022.42

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 45 787.88 ₸ +765.46 ₸ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

498 915.35 ₸

at 166 305.12

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 238 583.30 ₸ +72 278.18 ₸ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0000–0.0118

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 588 960.19 ₸ +467 736.11 (+79.4%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

45 022.42 ₸

at 45 022.42

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 45 787.88 ₸ +765.46 ₸ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

665 220.47 ₸

at 166 305.12

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 238 583.30 ₸ +72 278.18 ₸ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 710 242.89 ₸ +572 774.83 (+80.6%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 2%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118 077.70 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

469 040.08 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

167 289.41 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 433.08 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

165 532.21 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

333 994.78 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

270 664.54 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

124 253.29 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

503 163.31 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

944 741.54 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

136 177.84 ₸ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

65 382.00 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

713 781.74 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

82 349.65 ₸ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

419 962.15 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

284 336.13 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

558 900.80 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 633 033.86 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

900 182.51 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

220 706.25 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

89 926.95 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

186 435.76 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 941.09 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 861.64 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

337 167.87 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

301 781.19 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

383 306.72 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

519 184.75 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

294 809.79 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 452 997.32 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

343 750.78 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

548 831.81 ₸ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

234 047.46 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

848 422.04 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

371 525.73 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

220 447.23 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 934 631.73 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 187 673.79 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 600 730.05 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 259 805.44 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 631 916.88 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

229 949.29 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

137 630.32 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188 614.52 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

160 012.91 ₸ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Revolution Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Chroma Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +242 065.46 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +255 813.44 ₸ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Glove Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3274330 · The Glove Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 257 658.62₸ · invest 346 394.80₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Revolution Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build