Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3274749 · ways to build: 3A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0087
(2% of this wear's listings)
356.98 $
at 89.24
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 515.03 $+425.78 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy0.0000–0.0137
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008799f′ (normalized) 0.013749wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 575.93 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 213 · from 127.17 $ (float 0.0069) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
USP-S | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0087
(2% of this wear's listings)
138.40 $
at 138.40
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 180.03 $+41.64 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy0.0000–0.0056
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008799f′ (normalized) 0.012570wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 44 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 281.53 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 154 · from 294.49 $ (float 0.0056) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 5 pcs495.38 $
−326.34
(−65.9%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0091
(2% of this wear's listings)
178.49 $
at 89.24
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 515.03 $+425.78 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy0.0000–0.0142
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009117f′ (normalized) 0.014246wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 575.93 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 213 · from 127.17 $ (float 0.0069) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×3
USP-S | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0091
(2% of this wear's listings)
415.20 $
at 138.40
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 180.03 $+41.64 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy0.0000–0.0058
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009117f′ (normalized) 0.013024wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 44 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 281.53 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 154 · from 294.49 $ (float 0.0056) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 5 pcs593.68 $
−332.54
(−56.0%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0089
(2% of this wear's listings)
267.73 $
at 89.24
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 515.03 $+425.78 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy0.0000–0.0139
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008955f′ (normalized) 0.013993wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 575.93 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 213 · from 127.17 $ (float 0.0069) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×2
USP-S | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0089
(2% of this wear's listings)
276.80 $
at 138.40
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 180.03 $+41.64 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy0.0000–0.0057
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008955f′ (normalized) 0.012793wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 44 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 281.53 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 154 · from 294.49 $ (float 0.0056) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 198.18 $sells 14 a weeknow 227.91 $ — cheaper than the month average 241.21 $sell now to a buy order: 206.13 $
(you get 179.24 $)) · buy orders: 914
sell on Market.CSGO: 182.77 $ to your card
cheapest lot 200.41 · lots 17price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 169.99 $listings: 76
on CS.Money: ~ 182.43 $
on Lis-Skins: from 176.90 $listings: 55
month average 258.88 $, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 187.70 $
(you get 163.22 $)) · buy orders: 365
sell on Market.CSGO: 182.78 $ to your card
cheapest lot 200.42 · lots 21
on CSFloat: from 176.00 $listings: 31
on CS.Money: ~ 188.14 $
on Lis-Skins: from 182.63 $listings: 50
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 247.36 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 284.47 $sell now to a buy order: 284.47 $
(you get 247.36 $)) · buy orders: 195not listed on Market.CSGO right nowLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 181.28 $sell now to a buy order: 181.28 $
(you get 157.64 $)) · buy orders: 136Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 189.00 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 220.36 $listings: 4
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 238.60 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 274.39 $sell now to a buy order: 274.39 $
(you get 238.60 $)) · buy orders: 158not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 400.00 $listings: 5
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 131.85 $
(you get 114.65 $)) · buy orders: 111Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 154.58 $sell now to a buy order: 154.58 $
(you get 134.42 $)) · buy orders: 100not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 530.17 $
(you get 461.01 $)) · buy orders: 70not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Night (Factory New)net 113.92 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 131.01 $sell now to a buy order: 131.01 $
(you get 113.92 $)) · buy orders: 109not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 376.19 $listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 82.44 $sell now to a buy order: 82.44 $
(you get 71.68 $)) · buy orders: 63not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 142.17 $
(you get 123.63 $)) · buy orders: 47not listed on Market.CSGO right now
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 154.10 $sell now to a buy order: 154.10 $
(you get 134.00 $)) · buy orders: 33not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
now 89.52 $ — cheaper than the month average 102.92 $sell now to a buy order: 84.71 $
(you get 73.66 $)) · buy orders: 1158
sell on Market.CSGO: 76.00 $ to your card
cheapest lot 83.33 · lots 16
on CSFloat: from 70.34 $listings: 25
on CS.Money: ~ 82.65 $
on Lis-Skins: from 72.66 $listings: 52
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 1 752.66 $The Spectrum Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 788.43 $listings 507 · you get 1 752.66 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 2 093.40 $
(you get 1 820.34 $)) · buy orders: 2202
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 927.72 $ to your card
cheapest lot 2 113.73 · lots 45price ignores floatprice ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 1 788.43 $listings: 507
on CS.Money: ~ 2 145.37 $
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 1 304.53 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 6 a weeknow 1 500.21 $ — cheaper than the month average 1 782.17 $sell now to a buy order: 1 507.73 $
(you get 1 311.07 $)) · buy orders: 1634
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 195.49 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 310.85 · lots 33price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 1 151.67 $listings: 212
on CS.Money: ~ 1 376.15 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 184.08 $listings: 112
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 1 060.71 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 9 a weeknow 1 219.81 $ — cheaper than the month average 1 511.62 $sell now to a buy order: 1 166.08 $
(you get 1 013.99 $)) · buy orders: 1995
sell on Market.CSGO: 994.05 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 089.97 · lots 28price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 930.75 $listings: 219
on CS.Money: ~ 1 103.51 $
on Lis-Skins: from 988.61 $listings: 111
rarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 946.91 $sell now to a buy order: 946.91 $
(you get 823.40 $)) · buy orders: 919
sell on Market.CSGO: 786.30 $ to your card
cheapest lot 862.17 · lots 8price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 720.00 $listings: 44
on CS.Money: ~ 849.02 $
on Lis-Skins: from 771.32 $listings: 39
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 544.64 $sell now to a buy order: 544.64 $
(you get 473.60 $)) · buy orders: 250
sell on Market.CSGO: 579.67 $ to your card
cheapest lot 635.60 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 505.00 $listings: 7
on CS.Money: ~ 565.11 $
on Lis-Skins: from 499.04 $listings: 29
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 1 857.10 $The Spectrum Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 895.00 $listings 3 · you get 1 857.10 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 523.66 $
(you get 1 324.92 $)) · buy orders: 75not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 1 895.00 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 1 842.67 $Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
now 342.63 $ — cheaper than the month average 399.00 $sell now to a buy order: 316.24 $
(you get 274.99 $)) · buy orders: 1698
sell on Market.CSGO: 279.58 $ to your card
cheapest lot 306.56 · lots 48price ignores floatprice ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 249.62 $listings: 283
on CS.Money: ~ 264.11 $
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 168.05 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 32 a weeknow 193.25 $ — cheaper than the month average 205.66 $sell now to a buy order: 193.56 $
(you get 168.31 $)) · buy orders: 736
sell on Market.CSGO: 172.00 $ to your card
cheapest lot 188.60 · lots 14price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 147.83 $listings: 94
on CS.Money: ~ 168.10 $
on Lis-Skins: from 153.12 $listings: 43
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 140.55 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 47 a weeknow 161.64 $ — cheaper than the month average 169.48 $sell now to a buy order: 157.97 $
(you get 137.36 $)) · buy orders: 869
sell on Market.CSGO: 128.60 $ to your card
cheapest lot 141.01 · lots 19price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 118.75 $listings: 74
on CS.Money: ~ 135.44 $
on Lis-Skins: from 122.47 $listings: 56
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 111.16 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 11 a weeknow 127.83 $ — cheaper than the month average 150.33 $sell now to a buy order: 118.92 $
(you get 103.41 $)) · buy orders: 172
sell on Market.CSGO: 114.53 $ to your card
cheapest lot 125.58 · lots 9price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 100.17 $listings: 22
on CS.Money: ~ 105.13 $
on Lis-Skins: from 107.62 $listings: 23
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 60.63 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 5 a weeknow 69.72 $ — cheaper than the month average 75.24 $sell now to a buy order: 66.19 $
(you get 57.56 $)) · buy orders: 144
sell on Market.CSGO: 69.83 $ to your card
cheapest lot 76.57 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 69.89 $listings: 7
on CS.Money: ~ 62.22 $
on Lis-Skins: from 59.86 $listings: 14
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 233.22 $sell now to a buy order: 233.22 $
(you get 202.80 $)) · buy orders: 134
sell on Market.CSGO: 211.64 $ to your card
cheapest lot 232.06 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New)net 112.06 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 30 a weeknow 128.87 $ — cheaper than the month average 164.00 $sell now to a buy order: 128.90 $
(you get 112.09 $)) · buy orders: 2221
sell on Market.CSGO: 117.42 $ to your card
cheapest lot 128.76 · lots 51price ignores floatprice ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 106.17 $listings: 186
on CS.Money: ~ 111.03 $
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 80.01 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 47 a weeknow 92.01 $ — cheaper than the month average 112.27 $sell now to a buy order: 92.80 $
(you get 80.69 $)) · buy orders: 728
sell on Market.CSGO: 80.05 $ to your card
cheapest lot 87.78 · lots 32price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 75.00 $listings: 64
on CS.Money: ~ 79.39 $
on Lis-Skins: from 76.25 $listings: 71
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 68.71 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 63 a weeknow 79.01 $ — cheaper than the month average 84.34 $sell now to a buy order: 72.94 $
(you get 63.42 $)) · buy orders: 754
sell on Market.CSGO: 65.73 $ to your card
cheapest lot 72.08 · lots 38price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 60.00 $listings: 59
on CS.Money: ~ 61.67 $
on Lis-Skins: from 58.78 $listings: 178
month average 71.07 $, sold 36 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 68.16 $
(you get 59.27 $)) · buy orders: 272
sell on Market.CSGO: 57.14 $ to your card
cheapest lot 62.66 · lots 16price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 55.70 $listings: 17
on CS.Money: ~ 59.57 $
on Lis-Skins: from 55.46 $listings: 50
rarely sells: 6 a month — calculated at the buy order 41.67 $sell now to a buy order: 41.67 $
(you get 36.23 $)) · buy orders: 237
sell on Market.CSGO: 44.61 $ to your card
cheapest lot 48.92 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 41.96 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 44.23 $
on Lis-Skins: from 45.99 $listings: 12
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 133.85 $sell now to a buy order: 133.85 $
(you get 116.39 $)) · buy orders: 110Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 148.23 $Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 258.86 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 24 a weeknow 297.69 $ — cheaper than the month average 314.28 $sell now to a buy order: 262.50 $
(you get 228.26 $)) · buy orders: 1912
sell on Market.CSGO: 223.65 $ to your card
cheapest lot 245.24 · lots 65price ignores floatprice ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 204.20 $listings: 298
on CS.Money: ~ 221.57 $
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 155.02 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 53 a weeknow 178.27 $ — cheaper than the month average 190.97 $sell now to a buy order: 162.60 $
(you get 141.39 $)) · buy orders: 893
sell on Market.CSGO: 146.87 $ to your card
cheapest lot 161.04 · lots 16price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 135.36 $listings: 83
on CS.Money: ~ 145.37 $
on Lis-Skins: from 136.14 $listings: 77
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 120.09 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 48 a weeknow 138.10 $ — cheaper than the month average 151.82 $sell now to a buy order: 129.58 $
(you get 112.68 $)) · buy orders: 1082
sell on Market.CSGO: 116.31 $ to your card
cheapest lot 127.53 · lots 15price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 106.58 $listings: 88
on CS.Money: ~ 118.05 $
on Lis-Skins: from 106.36 $listings: 45
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 98.93 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 6 a weeknow 113.77 $ — cheaper than the month average 117.58 $sell now to a buy order: 103.70 $
(you get 90.17 $)) · buy orders: 211
sell on Market.CSGO: 96.22 $ to your card
cheapest lot 105.50 · lots 15price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 90.00 $listings: 22
on CS.Money: ~ 90.46 $
on Lis-Skins: from 87.99 $listings: 41
rarely sells: 6 a month — calculated at the buy order 59.10 $sell now to a buy order: 59.10 $
(you get 51.39 $)) · buy orders: 195
sell on Market.CSGO: 57.47 $ to your card
cheapest lot 63.02 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 51.79 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 51.35 $
on Lis-Skins: from 52.42 $listings: 9
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 182.65 $sell now to a buy order: 182.65 $
(you get 158.82 $)) · buy orders: 83not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 283.23 $
on Lis-Skins: from 319.34 $listings: 4
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 295.01 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 23 a weeknow 339.26 $ — cheaper than the month average 377.95 $sell now to a buy order: 306.83 $
(you get 266.81 $)) · buy orders: 1378
sell on Market.CSGO: 283.28 $ to your card
cheapest lot 310.61 · lots 66price ignores floatprice ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 250.92 $listings: 373
on CS.Money: ~ 276.81 $
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 167.12 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 32 a weeknow 192.19 $ — cheaper than the month average 223.52 $sell now to a buy order: 184.84 $
(you get 160.73 $)) · buy orders: 785
sell on Market.CSGO: 161.60 $ to your card
cheapest lot 177.19 · lots 47price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 146.75 $listings: 117
on CS.Money: ~ 168.91 $
on Lis-Skins: from 155.51 $listings: 117
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 143.52 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 31 a weeknow 165.05 $ — cheaper than the month average 171.70 $sell now to a buy order: 150.35 $
(you get 130.74 $)) · buy orders: 649
sell on Market.CSGO: 133.08 $ to your card
cheapest lot 145.92 · lots 19price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 118.68 $listings: 119
on CS.Money: ~ 134.62 $
on Lis-Skins: from 132.02 $listings: 41
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 117.80 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 9 a weekmonth average 135.47 $, sold 31 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 115.33 $
(you get 100.29 $)) · buy orders: 276
sell on Market.CSGO: 95.36 $ to your card
cheapest lot 104.56 · lots 19price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 98.06 $listings: 20
on CS.Money: ~ 103.19 $
on Lis-Skins: from 101.28 $listings: 50
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 54.24 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 3 a weekrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the current 62.38 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 62.68 $
(you get 54.50 $)) · buy orders: 171
sell on Market.CSGO: 66.96 $ to your card
cheapest lot 73.42 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 62.20 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 61.56 $
on Lis-Skins: from 72.10 $listings: 7
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 285.64 $sell now to a buy order: 285.64 $
(you get 248.38 $)) · buy orders: 119Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 269.53 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 321.08 $
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 413% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37356.98 → 844.25 $
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) × 113% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16138.40 → 298.94 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−341.28 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−330.81 $historical median
6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spectrum Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
17 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3274767
· The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −304.80$
· invest 496.03$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.007050 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3274768
· The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit −304.80$
· invest 496.03$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.007050 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3273421
· The Wildfire Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit −320.07$
· invest 511.31$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.008909 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3273422
· The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −320.07$
· invest 511.31$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.008909 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3274087
· The Wildfire Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −320.51$
· invest 478.69$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009008 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3274088
· The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −320.51$
· invest 478.69$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009008 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3273777
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −322.15$
· invest 505.57$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005045 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3273778
· The Chroma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −322.15$
· invest 505.57$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005045 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3273345
· The Wildfire Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit −323.49$
· invest 514.72$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009293 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3273346
· The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −323.49$
· invest 514.72$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009293 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3274750
· The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −326.34$
· invest 495.38$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3274739
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −329.57$
· invest 498.61$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3274740
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −329.57$
· invest 498.61$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3274271
· The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −329.77$
· invest 526.94$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009319 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3274272
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −329.77$
· invest 526.94$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009319 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3274485
· The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit −330.47$
· invest 557.01$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009319 instead of 0.008799
Craft 3274486
· The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −330.47$
· invest 557.01$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009319 instead of 0.008799
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.