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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ancient Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +0.46₴

Invest 28.76₴

Average return 29.22₴

ROI +1.6%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 67.71 ₴, profit at most −38.49 ₴

float premium: at least 37 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +29.87 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈34, цена занижена

×8

MP5-SD | Dirt Drop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

10.91 ₴

at 1.36

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 22 953 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
UMP-45 | Mudder (Field-Tested) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 16 370 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
AUG | Sweeper (Minimal Wear) — 1.38 ₴ +0.02 ₴ per item · on the market 2 204 · buy 0.0700–0.0839

Steam

×2

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

17.86 ₴

at 8.93

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) — 9.51 ₴ +0.58 ₴ per item · on the market 680 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) — 13.00 ₴ +4.07 ₴ per item · on the market 506 · buy 0.0000–0.0419
Souvenir SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Minimal Wear) — 13.00 ₴ +4.07 ₴ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0700–0.0979

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 28.76 ₴ +0.46 (+1.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

MP5-SD | Dirt Drop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

1.36 ₴

at 1.36

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 22 953 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
UMP-45 | Mudder (Field-Tested) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 16 370 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
AUG | Sweeper (Minimal Wear) — 1.38 ₴ +0.02 ₴ per item · on the market 2 204 · buy 0.0700–0.0839

Steam

×9

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

80.36 ₴

at 8.93

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) — 9.51 ₴ +0.58 ₴ per item · on the market 680 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) — 13.00 ₴ +4.07 ₴ per item · on the market 506 · buy 0.0000–0.0419
Souvenir SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Minimal Wear) — 13.00 ₴ +4.07 ₴ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0700–0.0979

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 81.72 ₴ +29.87 (+36.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

MP5-SD | Dirt Drop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

2.73 ₴

at 1.36

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 22 953 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
UMP-45 | Mudder (Field-Tested) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 16 370 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
AUG | Sweeper (Minimal Wear) — 1.38 ₴ +0.02 ₴ per item · on the market 2 204 · buy 0.0700–0.0839

Steam

×8

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

71.43 ₴

at 8.93

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) — 9.51 ₴ +0.58 ₴ per item · on the market 680 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) — 13.00 ₴ +4.07 ₴ per item · on the market 506 · buy 0.0000–0.0419
Souvenir SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Minimal Wear) — 13.00 ₴ +4.07 ₴ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0700–0.0979

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 74.15 ₴ +25.67 (+34.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈34, цена занижена

×3

MP5-SD | Dirt Drop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

4.09 ₴

at 1.36

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 22 953 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
UMP-45 | Mudder (Field-Tested) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 16 370 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
AUG | Sweeper (Minimal Wear) — 1.38 ₴ +0.02 ₴ per item · on the market 2 204 · buy 0.0700–0.0839

Steam

×7

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

62.50 ₴

at 8.93

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) — 9.51 ₴ +0.58 ₴ per item · on the market 680 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) — 13.00 ₴ +4.07 ₴ per item · on the market 506 · buy 0.0000–0.0419
Souvenir SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Minimal Wear) — 13.00 ₴ +4.07 ₴ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0700–0.0979

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 66.59 ₴ +21.47 (+32.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈34, цена занижена

×4

MP5-SD | Dirt Drop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

5.45 ₴

at 1.36

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 22 953 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
UMP-45 | Mudder (Field-Tested) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 16 370 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
AUG | Sweeper (Minimal Wear) — 1.38 ₴ +0.02 ₴ per item · on the market 2 204 · buy 0.0700–0.0839

Steam

×6

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

53.57 ₴

at 8.93

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) — 9.51 ₴ +0.58 ₴ per item · on the market 680 · buy 0.1500–0.1635
Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) — 13.00 ₴ +4.07 ₴ per item · on the market 506 · buy 0.0000–0.0419
Souvenir SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Minimal Wear) — 13.00 ₴ +4.07 ₴ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0700–0.0979

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 59.02 ₴ +17.26 (+29.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

8.47 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | High Beam

Factory New

float up to 0.011199

7.91 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Calf Skin

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

5.88 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

R8 Revolver | Nitro

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163599

3.89 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.011199

94.02 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106399

119.79 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

245.60 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090999

108.04 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.34 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.40 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build