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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Fever Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −196.80₴

Invest at least 351.76₴

Average return 154.96₴

ROI −56.0%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 351.76 ₴, profit at most −196.80 ₴

float premium: at least 190 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +3.50 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4890

58.64 ₴

at 19.55

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) — 24.94 ₴ +5.39 ₴ per item · on the market 962 · buy 0.1500–0.2934
M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) — 32.70 ₴ +13.15 ₴ per item · on the market 917 · buy 0.1500–0.1956
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 34.83 ₴ +15.28 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0391

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

76.80 ₴

at 25.60

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 34.83 ₴ +9.23 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0133
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 41.32 ₴ +15.72 ₴ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.0998
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 81.54 ₴ +55.94 ₴ per item · on the market 1 236 · buy 0.0000–0.0665

Steam

×4

MP9 | Nexus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

19.31 ₴

at 4.83

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.01 ₴ +0.18 ₴ per item · on the market 793 · buy 0.1500–0.1663
M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) — 5.67 ₴ +0.84 ₴ per item · on the market 2 275 · buy 0.1500–0.1663
MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 6.02 ₴ +1.20 ₴ per item · on the market 1 017 · buy 0.1500–0.1663

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 154.75 ₴ +0.21 (+0.1%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3889

84.24 ₴

at 21.06

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) — 24.94 ₴ +3.88 ₴ per item · on the market 962 · buy 0.1500–0.2333
M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) — 32.70 ₴ +11.64 ₴ per item · on the market 917 · buy 0.1500–0.1555
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 34.83 ₴ +13.77 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0311

Steam

×5

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1793

128.00 ₴

at 25.60

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 34.83 ₴ +9.23 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0143
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 41.32 ₴ +15.72 ₴ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.1075
M4A4 | Converter (Minimal Wear) — 46.57 ₴ +20.97 ₴ per item · on the market 1 534 · buy 0.0700–0.0717

Steam

×1

MP9 | Nexus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1793

4.83 ₴

at 4.83

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 4.96 ₴ +0.13 ₴ per item · on the market 973 · buy 0.1500–0.1613
XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.01 ₴ +0.18 ₴ per item · on the market 793 · buy 0.1500–0.1793
M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) — 5.67 ₴ +0.84 ₴ per item · on the market 2 275 · buy 0.1500–0.1793

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 217.06 ₴ +3.50 (+1.6%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4890

58.64 ₴

at 19.55

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) — 24.94 ₴ +5.39 ₴ per item · on the market 962 · buy 0.1500–0.2934
M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) — 32.70 ₴ +13.15 ₴ per item · on the market 917 · buy 0.1500–0.1956
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 34.83 ₴ +15.28 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0391

Steam

×5

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

128.00 ₴

at 25.60

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 34.83 ₴ +9.23 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0133
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 41.32 ₴ +15.72 ₴ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.0998
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 81.54 ₴ +55.94 ₴ per item · on the market 1 236 · buy 0.0000–0.0665

Steam

×2

MP9 | Nexus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

9.65 ₴

at 4.83

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.01 ₴ +0.18 ₴ per item · on the market 793 · buy 0.1500–0.1663
M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) — 5.67 ₴ +0.84 ₴ per item · on the market 2 275 · buy 0.1500–0.1663
MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 6.02 ₴ +1.20 ₴ per item · on the market 1 017 · buy 0.1500–0.1663

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 196.29 ₴ +2.40 (+1.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4890

58.64 ₴

at 19.55

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) — 24.94 ₴ +5.39 ₴ per item · on the market 962 · buy 0.1500–0.2934
M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) — 32.70 ₴ +13.15 ₴ per item · on the market 917 · buy 0.1500–0.1956
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 34.83 ₴ +15.28 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0391

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

102.40 ₴

at 25.60

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 34.83 ₴ +9.23 ₴ per item · on the market 1 276 · buy 0.0000–0.0133
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 41.32 ₴ +15.72 ₴ per item · on the market 505 · buy 0.0700–0.0998
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 81.54 ₴ +55.94 ₴ per item · on the market 1 236 · buy 0.0000–0.0665

Steam

×3

MP9 | Nexus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

14.48 ₴

at 4.83

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.01 ₴ +0.18 ₴ per item · on the market 793 · buy 0.1500–0.1663
M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) — 5.67 ₴ +0.84 ₴ per item · on the market 2 275 · buy 0.1500–0.1663
MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 6.02 ₴ +1.20 ₴ per item · on the market 1 017 · buy 0.1500–0.1663

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 175.52 ₴ +1.31 (+0.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

AK-47 | Safety Net

Field-Tested

float up to 0.157894

148.27 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.065789

618.20 ₴ 20.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Vino Primo

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263157

69.91 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

40.73 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Control

Field-Tested

float up to 0.210261

24.88 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263157

25.00 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.250144

23.06 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Field-Tested

float up to 0.184210

22.93 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −20.85 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −12.50 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build