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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −0.92$

Invest at least 1.58$

Average return 0.65$

ROI −58.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1.58 $, profit at most −0.92 $

float premium: at least 1 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.16 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈110, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1978

0.51 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 471 · buy 0.1500–0.1937
Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 343 · buy 0.1500–0.2018
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 457 · buy 0.1500–0.2018

souvenirSteam

×4

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0866

0.12 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley (Minimal Wear) — 0.03 $ · on the market 27 994 · buy 0.0700–0.0866
FAMAS | Byproduct (Minimal Wear) — 0.03 $ · on the market 41 456 · buy 0.0700–0.0794
MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear) — 0.03 $ · on the market 15 755 · buy 0.0700–0.1299

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.64 $ +0.02 (+3.0%)

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈44, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1816

0.60 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 471 · buy 0.1500–0.1779
Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 343 · buy 0.1500–0.1853
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 457 · buy 0.1500–0.1853

souvenirSteam

×3

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0810

0.09 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley (Minimal Wear) — 0.03 $ · on the market 27 994 · buy 0.0700–0.0810
FAMAS | Byproduct (Minimal Wear) — 0.03 $ · on the market 41 456 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear) — 0.03 $ · on the market 15 755 · buy 0.0700–0.1215

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.69 $ +0.07 (+9.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈5, цена занижена

×8

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

0.69 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 471 · buy 0.1500–0.1647
Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 343 · buy 0.1500–0.1716
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 457 · buy 0.1500–0.1716

souvenirSteam

×2

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

0.06 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley (Minimal Wear) — 0.03 $ · on the market 27 994 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear) — 0.03 $ · on the market 15 755 · buy 0.0700–0.1144
R8 Revolver | Mauve Aside (Minimal Wear) — 0.03 $ · on the market 23 960 · buy 0.0700–0.1021

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.75 $ +0.12 (+15.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×9

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

0.77 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 471 · buy 0.1500–0.1596
Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 343 · buy 0.1500–0.1662
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 457 · buy 0.1500–0.1662

souvenirSteam

×1

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

0.03 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley (Factory New) — 0.04 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 6 871 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) — 0.04 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 4 488 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik (Factory New) — 0.04 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 7 259 · buy 0.0000–0.0042

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.81 $ +0.16 (+20.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

AUG | Spalted Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143999

1.26 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.20 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.22 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Old Roots

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.24 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Picnic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.224999

0.03 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Coral Paisley

Field-Tested

float up to 0.194999

0.03 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

float up to 0.299999

0.05 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Field-Tested

float up to 0.179999

0.03 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | XoooM

Field-Tested

float up to 0.179999

0.03 $ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.11 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.01 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build