The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

302.39 ₽

at 302.39

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 308.49 ₽ +6.10 ₽ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 309.52 ₽ +7.13 ₽ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 695.00 ₽ +392.61 ₽ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0045

souvenirSteam

×1

P90 | Grim

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

36.40 ₽

at 36.40

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested) — 33.05 ₽ cheaper by 3.35 ₽ · on the market 869 · buy 0.1500–0.1514
UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear) — 38.54 ₽ +2.14 ₽ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0700–0.0934
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 43.14 ₽ +6.74 ₽ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0934

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

308.32 ₽

at 38.54

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 43.14 ₽ +4.60 ₽ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 49.47 ₽ +10.93 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 78.00 ₽ +39.46 ₽ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0000–0.0336

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 647.11 ₽ +305.78 (+47.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −583 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

474.60 ₽

at 237.30

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 302.39 ₽ +65.09 ₽ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0697
Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 308.49 ₽ +71.19 ₽ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0684
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 344.21 ₽ +106.91 ₽ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0767

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

604.78 ₽

at 302.39

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 308.49 ₽ +6.10 ₽ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 309.52 ₽ +7.13 ₽ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 695.00 ₽ +392.61 ₽ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

souvenirSteam

×5

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

192.70 ₽

at 38.54

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 43.14 ₽ +4.60 ₽ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0767
CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 49.47 ₽ +10.93 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0700–0.0767
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 78.00 ₽ +39.46 ₽ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0000–0.0345

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

78.00 ₽

at 78.00

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 78.95 ₽ +0.95 ₽ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 106.05 ₽ +28.05 ₽ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0105
UMP-45 | Briefing (Factory New) — 148.55 ₽ +70.55 ₽ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0131

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 350.08 ₽ +26.47 (+2.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −113 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

237.30 ₽

at 237.30

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 302.39 ₽ +65.09 ₽ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0696
Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 308.49 ₽ +71.19 ₽ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0682
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 344.21 ₽ +106.91 ₽ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0766

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

302.39 ₽

at 302.39

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 308.49 ₽ +6.10 ₽ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 309.52 ₽ +7.13 ₽ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 695.00 ₽ +392.61 ₽ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0063

souvenirSteam

×7

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

269.78 ₽

at 38.54

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 43.14 ₽ +4.60 ₽ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 49.47 ₽ +10.93 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 78.00 ₽ +39.46 ₽ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0000–0.0344

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

78.00 ₽

at 78.00

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 78.95 ₽ +0.95 ₽ per item · on the market 195 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 106.05 ₽ +28.05 ₽ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0102
UMP-45 | Briefing (Factory New) — 148.55 ₽ +70.55 ₽ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0128

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 887.47 ₽ +206.64 (+23.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −339 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

237.30 ₽

at 237.30

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 302.39 ₽ +65.09 ₽ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0683
Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 308.49 ₽ +71.19 ₽ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0669
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 344.21 ₽ +106.91 ₽ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0751

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

604.78 ₽

at 302.39

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 308.49 ₽ +6.10 ₽ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0044
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 309.52 ₽ +7.13 ₽ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 695.00 ₽ +392.61 ₽ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0049

souvenirSteam

×1

P90 | Grim

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

36.40 ₽

at 36.40

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested) — 33.05 ₽ cheaper by 3.35 ₽ · on the market 869 · buy 0.1500–0.1516
UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear) — 38.54 ₽ +2.14 ₽ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0700–0.0939
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 43.14 ₽ +6.74 ₽ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0939

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

231.24 ₽

at 38.54

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 43.14 ₽ +4.60 ₽ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 49.47 ₽ +10.93 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 78.00 ₽ +39.46 ₽ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0000–0.0338

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 109.72 ₽ +125.61 (+11.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Directive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

543.39 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 324.46 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

167.99 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

344.19 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

287.10 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 605.93 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

2 563.49 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.025899

2 502.87 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +123.20 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +264.10 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3305166 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 281.54₽ · invest 582.72₽
rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.074772; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.074772

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build

What you get 8 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build