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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −20.41₴

Invest at least 37.34₴

Average return 16.94₴

ROI −54.6%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 37.34 ₴, profit at most −20.41 ₴

float premium: at least 14 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +32.55 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

4.43 ₴

at 2.22

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Field-Tested) — 2.30 ₴ +0.08 ₴ per item · on the market 3 785 · buy 0.1500–0.1983
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 2.44 ₴ +0.22 ₴ per item · on the market 3 381 · buy 0.1500–0.1586
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 2.46 ₴ +0.24 ₴ per item · on the market 3 621 · buy 0.1500–0.1818

souvenirSteam

×5

Dual Berettas | BorDeux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

6.82 ₴

at 1.36

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Bronzer (Minimal Wear) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 19 588 · buy 0.0700–0.0780
MP7 | Short Ochre (Minimal Wear) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 17 671 · buy 0.0700–0.0728
SCAR-20 | Short Ochre (Minimal Wear) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 24 859 · buy 0.0700–0.0728

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Bronzer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

4.26 ₴

at 1.42

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) — 1.56 ₴ +0.14 ₴ per item · on the market 5 200 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
MP9 | Multi-Terrain (Factory New) — 1.66 ₴ +0.24 ₴ per item · on the market 5 312 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
P90 | Desert Halftone (Factory New) — 1.66 ₴ +0.24 ₴ per item · on the market 2 866 · buy 0.0000–0.0037

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.51 ₴ +1.43 (+9.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Grey Ghost

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074350

2.43 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | O-Ranger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

3.14 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Steel Work

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081666

2.72 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Sedimentary

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079333

2.46 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Basket Halftone

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.46 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Citric Acid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.06 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

58.77 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70.41 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

136.97 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.054833

58.77 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Rising Sun Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.98 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.12 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build