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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −245.16₸

Invest at least 456.22₸

Average return 211.00₸

ROI −53.8%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 456.22 ₸, profit at most −245.16 ₸

float premium: at least 233 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +42.61 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈7, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

88.31 ₸

at 22.08

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Field-Tested) — 22.90 ₸ +0.83 ₸ per item · on the market 3 785 · buy 0.1500–0.1962
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 24.28 ₸ +2.21 ₸ per item · on the market 3 381 · buy 0.1500–0.1570
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 24.45 ₸ +2.37 ₸ per item · on the market 3 621 · buy 0.1500–0.1799

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

68.71 ₸

at 22.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 26.49 ₸ +3.59 ₸ per item · on the market 1 873 · buy 0.0700–0.1199
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.98 ₸ +6.07 ₸ per item · on the market 1 228 · buy 0.0700–0.1363
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 30.36 ₸ +7.45 ₸ per item · on the market 1 507 · buy 0.0700–0.1308

souvenirSteam

×3

Tec-9 | Army Mesh

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

40.73 ₸

at 13.58

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Contractor (Field-Tested) — 13.58 ₸ · on the market 19 030 · buy 0.1500–0.1521
MP7 | Army Recon (Field-Tested) — 13.58 ₸ · on the market 26 369 · buy 0.1500–0.1521
SCAR-20 | Contractor (Field-Tested) — 13.58 ₸ · on the market 31 331 · buy 0.1500–0.1521

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 197.75 ₸ +13.25 (+6.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

22.08 ₸

at 22.08

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Field-Tested) — 22.90 ₸ +0.83 ₸ per item · on the market 3 785 · buy 0.1500–0.1951
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 24.28 ₸ +2.21 ₸ per item · on the market 3 381 · buy 0.1500–0.1561
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 24.45 ₸ +2.37 ₸ per item · on the market 3 621 · buy 0.1500–0.1788

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

160.33 ₸

at 22.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 26.49 ₸ +3.59 ₸ per item · on the market 1 873 · buy 0.0700–0.1192
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.98 ₸ +6.07 ₸ per item · on the market 1 228 · buy 0.0700–0.1355
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 30.36 ₸ +7.45 ₸ per item · on the market 1 507 · buy 0.0700–0.1301

souvenirSteam

×2

Dual Berettas | Contractor

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

27.15 ₸

at 13.58

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Army Recon (Field-Tested) — 13.58 ₸ · on the market 26 369 · buy 0.1500–0.1626
SCAR-20 | Contractor (Field-Tested) — 13.58 ₸ · on the market 31 331 · buy 0.1500–0.1626
SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) — 13.58 ₸ · on the market 25 536 · buy 0.1500–0.1626

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 209.56 ₸ +28.31 (+13.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈5, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

22.08 ₸

at 22.08

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Field-Tested) — 22.90 ₸ +0.83 ₸ per item · on the market 3 785 · buy 0.1500–0.1941
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 24.28 ₸ +2.21 ₸ per item · on the market 3 381 · buy 0.1500–0.1553
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 24.45 ₸ +2.37 ₸ per item · on the market 3 621 · buy 0.1500–0.1779

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

183.24 ₸

at 22.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 26.49 ₸ +3.59 ₸ per item · on the market 1 873 · buy 0.0700–0.1186
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) — 28.98 ₸ +6.07 ₸ per item · on the market 1 228 · buy 0.0700–0.1348
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 30.36 ₸ +7.45 ₸ per item · on the market 1 507 · buy 0.0700–0.1294

souvenirSteam

×1

SCAR-20 | Contractor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

16.78 ₸

at 16.78

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear) — 18.54 ₸ +1.77 ₸ per item · on the market 1 962 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
Dual Berettas | Contractor (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₸ +8.83 ₸ per item · on the market 1 109 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Minimal Wear) — 30.91 ₸ +14.13 ₸ per item · on the market 1 763 · buy 0.0700–0.0741

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 222.09 ₸ +42.61 (+19.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

303.22 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

346.66 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

360.13 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117499

331.15 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Condemned

Field-Tested

float up to 0.244999

22.57 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | VariCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

28.31 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | VariCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

27.60 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Gator Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

25.22 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Orange Peel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.244999

24.17 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Forest Leaves

Field-Tested

float up to 0.244999

31.13 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 6 only The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −37.81 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.21 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build