The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2.91 $

at 2.91

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 3.71 $ +0.80 $ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0677
Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 3.78 $ +0.87 $ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0663
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 4.22 $ +1.31 $ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0744

souvenirSteam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

3.48 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.77 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 512 · buy 0.0700–0.0997
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 631 · buy 0.0700–0.0857
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.19 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.0997

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2.32 $

at 0.77

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.19 $ +0.42 $ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) — 2.40 $ +1.63 $ per item · on the market 586 · buy 0.0000–0.0556
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 4.01 $ +3.24 $ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.0000–0.0640

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.71 $ +2.82 (+32.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

2.91 $

at 2.91

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 3.71 $ +0.80 $ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0687
Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 3.78 $ +0.87 $ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0673
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 4.22 $ +1.31 $ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0756

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

3.71 $

at 3.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 3.78 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0048
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 3.79 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 8.52 $ +4.81 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0053

souvenirSteam

×8

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

4.64 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.77 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 512 · buy 0.0700–0.1012
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 631 · buy 0.0700–0.0870
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.19 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.1012

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.26 $ +2.02 (+18.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

5.82 $

at 2.91

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 3.71 $ +0.80 $ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0680
Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 3.78 $ +0.87 $ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0667
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 4.22 $ +1.31 $ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0748

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

3.71 $

at 3.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 3.78 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0041
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 3.79 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 8.52 $ +4.81 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0046

souvenirSteam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

3.48 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.77 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 512 · buy 0.0700–0.1002
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 631 · buy 0.0700–0.0862
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.19 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.1002

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.77 $

at 0.77

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.19 $ +0.42 $ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) — 2.40 $ +1.63 $ per item · on the market 586 · buy 0.0000–0.0559
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 4.01 $ +3.24 $ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.0000–0.0643

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.78 $ +1.25 (+9.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

8.73 $

at 2.91

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 3.71 $ +0.80 $ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0674
Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 3.78 $ +0.87 $ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0660
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 4.22 $ +1.31 $ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0741

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

3.71 $

at 3.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 3.78 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0035
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 3.79 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 8.52 $ +4.81 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0040

souvenirSteam

×4

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

2.32 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 0.77 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 512 · buy 0.0700–0.0993
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 1.06 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 631 · buy 0.0700–0.0854
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.19 $ +0.61 $ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.0993

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.55 $

at 0.77

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 1.19 $ +0.42 $ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) — 2.40 $ +1.63 $ per item · on the market 586 · buy 0.0000–0.0553
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 4.01 $ +3.24 $ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.0000–0.0637

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.30 $ +0.47 (+2.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

9.72 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

6.92 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

17.11 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.047872

31.95 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.130850

31.43 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.035425

30.69 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.21 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.27 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build

What you get 6 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build