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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −4.97$

Invest at least 56.07$

Average return 51.11$

ROI −8.9%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 56.07 $, profit at most −4.97 $

float premium: at least 33 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

9.03 $

at 9.03

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New) — 15.93 $ +6.90 $ per item · on the market 128 · buy 0.0000–0.0030
Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New) — 17.93 $ +8.89 $ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 40.01 $ +30.98 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0380

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2565

13.90 $

at 1.54

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 4.01 $ +2.46 $ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0456
AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 4.59 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 947 · buy 0.0000–0.0293
MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) — 7.40 $ +5.86 $ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0000–0.0652

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.93 $ +28.17 (+122.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −34 $

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

45.16 $

at 9.03

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New) — 15.93 $ +6.90 $ per item · on the market 128 · buy 0.0000–0.0036
Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New) — 17.93 $ +8.89 $ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0000–0.0092
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 40.01 $ +30.98 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0460

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2578

7.72 $

at 1.54

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 2.44 $ +0.89 $ per item · on the market 115 · buy 0.0700–0.0789
CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 4.01 $ +2.46 $ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0552
AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 4.59 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 947 · buy 0.0000–0.0355

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 52.88 $ +4.02 (+7.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −23 $

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

36.13 $

at 9.03

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New) — 15.93 $ +6.90 $ per item · on the market 128 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New) — 17.93 $ +8.89 $ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0000–0.0087
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 40.01 $ +30.98 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0437

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2574

9.27 $

at 1.54

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 2.44 $ +0.89 $ per item · on the market 115 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 4.01 $ +2.46 $ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0524
AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 4.59 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 947 · buy 0.0000–0.0337

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45.39 $ +10.06 (+22.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

27.09 $

at 9.03

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New) — 15.93 $ +6.90 $ per item · on the market 128 · buy 0.0000–0.0033
Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New) — 17.93 $ +8.89 $ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 40.01 $ +30.98 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0416

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2571

10.81 $

at 1.54

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 2.44 $ +0.89 $ per item · on the market 115 · buy 0.0700–0.0714
CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 4.01 $ +2.46 $ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0499
AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 4.59 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 947 · buy 0.0000–0.0321

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.91 $ +16.09 (+42.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

18.06 $

at 9.03

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New) — 15.93 $ +6.90 $ per item · on the market 128 · buy 0.0000–0.0031
Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New) — 17.93 $ +8.89 $ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 40.01 $ +30.98 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0397

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2568

12.36 $

at 1.54

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 4.01 $ +2.46 $ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0477
AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 4.59 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 947 · buy 0.0000–0.0306
MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) — 7.40 $ +5.86 $ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0000–0.0681

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.42 $ +22.13 (+72.8%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

FAMAS | Djinn

Factory New

float up to 0.062499

43.27 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

worst

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

30.68 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Eco

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146874

97.37 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Cold Blooded

Factory New

float up to 0.004999

53.91 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Serum

Factory New

float up to 0.015624

93.61 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 6 only The Chroma 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +19.52 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25.30 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 2 Collection and The Chroma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3284830 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 29.75$ · invest 21.57$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): float at most 0.255760 instead of 0.256521
Craft 3294075 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 28.90$ · invest 23.12$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Monkey Business: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): float at most 0.255950 instead of 0.256521
Craft 3294653 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 28.59$ · invest 22.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): float at most 0.255294 instead of 0.256521

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build