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The Bravo Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −572.98₴

Invest at least 1 309.95₴

Average return 736.97₴

ROI −43.7%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 1 309.95 ₴, profit at most −572.98 ₴

float premium: at least 745 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +224.51 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

SG 553 | Wave Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

259.92 ₴

at 259.92

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Black Limba (Minimal Wear) — 320.65 ₴ +60.73 ₴ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.0757
G3SG1 | Demeter (Minimal Wear) — 364.55 ₴ +104.63 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0700–0.0757
Galil AR | Shattered (Minimal Wear) — 407.35 ₴ +147.43 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0757

Steam

×9

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

284.61 ₴

at 31.62

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New) — 37.69 ₴ +6.06 ₴ per item · on the market 3 867 · buy 0.0000–0.0003
FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) — 38.41 ₴ +6.78 ₴ per item · on the market 377 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 544.53 ₴ +192.45 (+35.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −161 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

SG 553 | Wave Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

519.83 ₴

at 259.92

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Black Limba (Minimal Wear) — 320.65 ₴ +60.73 ₴ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
G3SG1 | Demeter (Minimal Wear) — 364.55 ₴ +104.63 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
Galil AR | Shattered (Minimal Wear) — 407.35 ₴ +147.43 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0753

Steam

×8

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

252.99 ₴

at 31.62

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New) — 37.69 ₴ +6.06 ₴ per item · on the market 3 867 · buy 0.0000–0.0003
FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) — 38.41 ₴ +6.78 ₴ per item · on the market 377 · buy 0.0000–0.0070

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 772.82 ₴ +203.13 (+26.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −333 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

SG 553 | Wave Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

779.75 ₴

at 259.92

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Black Limba (Minimal Wear) — 320.65 ₴ +60.73 ₴ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
G3SG1 | Demeter (Minimal Wear) — 364.55 ₴ +104.63 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
Galil AR | Shattered (Minimal Wear) — 407.35 ₴ +147.43 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0748

Steam

×7

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

221.36 ₴

at 31.62

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New) — 37.69 ₴ +6.06 ₴ per item · on the market 3 867 · buy 0.0000–0.0003
FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) — 38.41 ₴ +6.78 ₴ per item · on the market 377 · buy 0.0000–0.0064

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 001.11 ₴ +213.82 (+21.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −504 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

SG 553 | Wave Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1 039.66 ₴

at 259.92

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Black Limba (Minimal Wear) — 320.65 ₴ +60.73 ₴ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
G3SG1 | Demeter (Minimal Wear) — 364.55 ₴ +104.63 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
Galil AR | Shattered (Minimal Wear) — 407.35 ₴ +147.43 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0743

Steam

×6

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

189.74 ₴

at 31.62

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New) — 37.69 ₴ +6.06 ₴ per item · on the market 3 867 · buy 0.0000–0.0002
FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) — 38.41 ₴ +6.78 ₴ per item · on the market 377 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 229.41 ₴ +224.51 (+18.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

worst

M4A1-S | Nitro

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

572.69 ₴ 90.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Bright Water

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.101621

2 125.07 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Zirka

Factory New

float up to 0.064864

3 798.80 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Graven

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 581.61 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Overgrowth

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 778.34 ₴ 2.50%

rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Bravo Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Bravo Collection Variant 5 only The Safehouse Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Bravo Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +72.67 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +135.87 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Bravo Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3287032 · The Ancient Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 191.60₴ · invest 461.96₴
rare inputs

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005011 instead of 0.005058
Craft 3313954 · The Safehouse Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 181.40₴ · invest 445.33₴
outcome without sales rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005431 instead of 0.005058

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Bravo Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build