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Crafts · The Chroma 3 Collection

prices updated 23.10 13:23 MSK

₴≈

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −83.73₴

Invest at least 289.69₴

Average return 205.96₴

ROI −28.9%

Chance of profit 24%

With float: invest at least 289.69 ₴, profit at most −83.73 ₴

float premium: at least 166 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 6 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4823

60.75 ₴

at 10.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.11 ₴ +11.99 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0700–0.1112
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 26.04 ₴ +15.92 ₴ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0700–0.0823
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) — 30.85 ₴ +20.72 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0713

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

58.02 ₴

at 14.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 41.57 ₴ +27.06 ₴ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0205
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 48.47 ₴ +33.97 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0000–0.0205
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 51.20 ₴ +36.70 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0246

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 118.77 ₴ +87.19 (+73.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 ₴

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4968

10.13 ₴

at 10.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.17 ₴ +11.04 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.0700–0.0807
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.11 ₴ +11.99 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0700–0.1307
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Minimal Wear) — 23.58 ₴ +13.46 ₴ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0700–0.0726

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

26.52 ₴

at 8.84

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 10.81 ₴ +1.97 ₴ per item · on the market 438 · buy 0.1500–0.1669
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 14.50 ₴ +5.66 ₴ per item · on the market 311 · buy 0.1500–0.3020
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 15.59 ₴ +6.75 ₴ per item · on the market 738 · buy 0.1500–0.1601

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

87.02 ₴

at 14.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 41.57 ₴ +27.06 ₴ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0258
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 48.47 ₴ +33.97 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0000–0.0258
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 51.20 ₴ +36.70 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0309

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 123.67 ₴ +23.79 (+19.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4892

40.50 ₴

at 10.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.17 ₴ +11.04 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.11 ₴ +11.99 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0700–0.1204
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 26.04 ₴ +15.92 ₴ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0700–0.0892

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

8.84 ₴

at 8.84

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 10.81 ₴ +1.97 ₴ per item · on the market 438 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 14.50 ₴ +5.66 ₴ per item · on the market 311 · buy 0.1500–0.2990
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 15.59 ₴ +6.75 ₴ per item · on the market 738 · buy 0.1500–0.1571

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

72.52 ₴

at 14.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 41.57 ₴ +27.06 ₴ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0230
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 48.47 ₴ +33.97 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0000–0.0230
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 51.20 ₴ +36.70 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0276

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 121.86 ₴ +60.70 (+49.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −33 ₴

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 6 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4857

60.75 ₴

at 10.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.17 ₴ +11.04 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.0700–0.0714
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.11 ₴ +11.99 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0700–0.1157
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 26.04 ₴ +15.92 ₴ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0700–0.0857

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

90.13 ₴

at 45.06

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New) — 50.04 ₴ +4.98 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) — 50.33 ₴ +5.27 ₴ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
StatTrak™ MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) — 52.26 ₴ +7.20 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.0000–0.0043

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

29.01 ₴

at 14.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 41.57 ₴ +27.06 ₴ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0217
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 48.47 ₴ +33.97 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0000–0.0217
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 51.20 ₴ +36.70 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0261

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 179.89 ₴ +49.47 (+27.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4849

30.38 ₴

at 10.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.17 ₴ +11.04 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.0700–0.0707
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.11 ₴ +11.99 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0700–0.1146
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 26.04 ₴ +15.92 ₴ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0700–0.0849

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

17.68 ₴

at 8.84

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 10.81 ₴ +1.97 ₴ per item · on the market 438 · buy 0.1500–0.1626
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 14.50 ₴ +5.66 ₴ per item · on the market 311 · buy 0.1500–0.2972
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 15.59 ₴ +6.75 ₴ per item · on the market 738 · buy 0.1500–0.1554

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

72.52 ₴

at 14.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 41.57 ₴ +27.06 ₴ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0214
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 48.47 ₴ +33.97 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0000–0.0214
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 51.20 ₴ +36.70 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0257

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 120.58 ₴ +50.28 (+41.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 72%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 8%

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

99.43 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Firefight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

207.28 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

343.85 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

float up to 0.040133

245.36 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

557.49 ₴ 12.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.060666

130.12 ₴ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

179.00 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

93.10 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.037333

205.71 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

172.68 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +51.28 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +79.57 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3295679 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 85.72₴ · invest 116.70₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): 8 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477827 instead of 0.482383
Craft 3294746 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 81.66₴ · invest 98.68₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): 8 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478045 instead of 0.482383
Craft 3292080 · The CS20 Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 78.92₴ · invest 98.72₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Popdog (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): 8 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.481875 instead of 0.482383
Craft 3295365 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 76.48₴ · invest 95.15₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): 7 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486116 instead of 0.482383
Craft 3295647 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 74.02₴ · invest 96.91₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): 8 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.487638 instead of 0.482383
Craft 3294712 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 73.39₴ · invest 100.20₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): 8 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477780 instead of 0.482383
Craft 3292081 · The CS20 Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 69.97₴ · invest 109.65₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): 8 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477780 instead of 0.482383
Craft 3295648 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 69.20₴ · invest 104.55₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): 8 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477780 instead of 0.482383
Craft 3295043 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 68.33₴ · invest 177.06₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477663 instead of 0.482383
Craft 3295044 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 66.09₴ · invest 132.58₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): 8 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479499 instead of 0.482383

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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