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The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −106.89₽

Invest at least 179.85₽

Average return 72.96₽

ROI −59.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 179.85 ₽, profit at most −106.89 ₽

float premium: at least 91 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×8

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3987

56.48 ₽

at 7.06

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 7.12 ₽ +0.06 ₽ per item · on the market 377 · buy 0.3800–0.3987
M4A4 | Zubastick (Well-Worn) — 8.04 ₽ +0.98 ₽ per item · on the market 1 212 · buy 0.3800–0.3987
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn) — 8.17 ₽ +1.11 ₽ per item · on the market 407 · buy 0.3800–0.3987

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | RMX

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2115

9.00 ₽

at 9.00

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Zubastick (Field-Tested) — 9.14 ₽ +0.14 ₽ per item · on the market 1 877 · buy 0.1500–0.2115
UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 9.30 ₽ +0.30 ₽ per item · on the market 1 013 · buy 0.1500–0.2115
M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 9.40 ₽ +0.40 ₽ per item · on the market 943 · buy 0.1500–0.2115

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3987

6.54 ₽

at 6.54

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Resupply (Well-Worn) — 6.86 ₽ +0.32 ₽ per item · on the market 1 200 · buy 0.3800–0.3987
M4A4 | Choppa (Well-Worn) — 7.06 ₽ +0.52 ₽ per item · on the market 1 545 · buy 0.3800–0.3987
MP9 | Nexus (Well-Worn) — 7.10 ₽ +0.56 ₽ per item · on the market 1 254 · buy 0.3800–0.3987

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72.02 ₽ +0.94 (+1.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 28%
About break-even 36%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

93.79 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

83.34 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

107.98 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

71.85 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

85.06 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216599

44.05 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Control

Field-Tested

float up to 0.303618

44.90 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

45.11 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.361208

41.60 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Field-Tested

float up to 0.265999

41.37 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7.13 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.77 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build