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The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −5 148.91₸

Invest at least 11 204.63₸

Average return 6 055.77₸

ROI −46.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 11 204.63 ₸, profit at most −5 148.91 ₸

float premium: at least 6 309 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 542.95 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3839

336.51 ₸

at 336.51

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) — 435.13 ₸ +98.63 ₸ per item · on the market 370 · buy 0.1500–0.2303
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 436.02 ₸ +99.51 ₸ per item · on the market 218 · buy 0.1500–0.3358
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) — 685.98 ₸ +349.48 ₸ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1919

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

3 052.12 ₸

at 436.02

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 2 518.30 ₸ +2 082.28 ₸ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.0000–0.0226
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 3 089.59 ₸ +2 653.57 ₸ per item · on the market 199 · buy 0.0000–0.0271
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 3 862.39 ₸ +3 426.37 ₸ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.0000–0.0235

Steam

×2

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

1 219.41 ₸

at 609.71

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Exothermic (Field-Tested) — 1 360.04 ₸ +750.33 ₸ per item · on the market 705 · buy 0.1500–0.1630

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 608.03 ₸ +1 447.74 (+31.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

3 052.12 ₸

at 436.02

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 2 518.30 ₸ +2 082.28 ₸ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.0000–0.0308
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 3 089.59 ₸ +2 653.57 ₸ per item · on the market 199 · buy 0.0000–0.0370
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 3 862.39 ₸ +3 426.37 ₸ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.0000–0.0320

Steam

×3

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

1 829.12 ₸

at 609.71

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Exothermic (Field-Tested) — 1 360.04 ₸ +750.33 ₸ per item · on the market 705 · buy 0.1500–0.1714

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 881.23 ₸ +1 542.95 (+31.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −134 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

2 616.10 ₸

at 436.02

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 2 518.30 ₸ +2 082.28 ₸ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.0000–0.0279
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 3 089.59 ₸ +2 653.57 ₸ per item · on the market 199 · buy 0.0000–0.0335
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 3 862.39 ₸ +3 426.37 ₸ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.0000–0.0290

Steam

×3

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

1 829.12 ₸

at 609.71

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Exothermic (Field-Tested) — 1 360.04 ₸ +750.33 ₸ per item · on the market 705 · buy 0.1500–0.1685

Steam

×1

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

1 770.61 ₸

at 1 770.61

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Exothermic (Minimal Wear) — 2 538.83 ₸ +768.22 ₸ per item · on the market 426 · buy 0.0700–0.0764

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 215.83 ₸ +576.76 (+9.3%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×9

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

3 924.15 ₸

at 436.02

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 2 518.30 ₸ +2 082.28 ₸ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.0000–0.0275
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 3 089.59 ₸ +2 653.57 ₸ per item · on the market 199 · buy 0.0000–0.0330
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 3 862.39 ₸ +3 426.37 ₸ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.0000–0.0286

Steam

×1

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4696

358.75 ₸

at 358.75

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Exothermic (Battle-Scarred) — 1 149.92 ₸ +791.18 ₸ per item · on the market 248 · buy 0.4500–0.4696

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 282.90 ₸ +1 404.41 (+32.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 53%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

4 084.76 ₸ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.037333

11 834.59 ₸ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

2 430.87 ₸ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Party Animal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 353.57 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +539.17 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 147.00 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build