The Falchion Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1.76 $

at 0.88

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 1.55 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.74 $ +0.86 $ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0025
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 1.95 $ +1.08 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0055

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1.95 $

at 0.39

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.52 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0930
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0465
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.96 $ +0.57 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0930

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1.55 $

at 0.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0372
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.96 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 1.03 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 303 · buy 0.0000–0.0372

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.27 $ +3.11 (+59.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

2.27 $

at 0.57

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 0.73 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 0.88 $ +0.31 $ per item · on the market 151 · buy 0.0000–0.0532
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.74 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0349

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

1.76 $

at 0.88

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 1.55 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.74 $ +0.86 $ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 1.95 $ +1.08 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0076

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1.56 $

at 0.39

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.52 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0951
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0475
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.96 $ +0.57 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0951

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.59 $ +1.93 (+34.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

0.88 $

at 0.88

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 1.55 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.74 $ +0.86 $ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0028
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 1.95 $ +1.08 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

0.39 $

at 0.39

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.52 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0937
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0468
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.96 $ +0.57 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0937

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

4.14 $

at 0.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0374
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.96 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 1.03 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 303 · buy 0.0000–0.0374

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.41 $ +3.18 (+58.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

3.40 $

at 0.57

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 0.73 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 0.88 $ +0.31 $ per item · on the market 151 · buy 0.0000–0.0524
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.74 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0344

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

0.88 $

at 0.88

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 1.55 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.74 $ +0.86 $ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0028
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 1.95 $ +1.08 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

0.39 $

at 0.39

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.52 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0937
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0468
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.96 $ +0.57 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0937

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

1.04 $

at 0.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0374
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.96 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 1.03 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 303 · buy 0.0000–0.0374

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.70 $ +1.60 (+28.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

3.96 $

at 0.57

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 0.73 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 0.88 $ +0.31 $ per item · on the market 151 · buy 0.0000–0.0524
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.74 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0344

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

0.88 $

at 0.88

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 1.55 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.74 $ +0.86 $ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0028
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 1.95 $ +1.08 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

0.39 $

at 0.39

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.52 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0937
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0468
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.96 $ +0.57 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0937

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

0.52 $

at 0.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0374
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 0.96 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 1.03 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 303 · buy 0.0000–0.0374

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.75 $ +1.34 (+23.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 28%
About break-even 20%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

21.94 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.15 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

5.41 $ 20.00%

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

5.98 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

6.86 $ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16.74 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

8.58 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

5.14 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

0.97 $ 4.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.66 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.65 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3313491 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.91$ · invest 4.51$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3295548 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.71$ · invest 4.53$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3311806 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.56$ · invest 4.31$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3308194 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.51$ · invest 5.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3296337 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.42$ · invest 5.46$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3305616 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.41$ · invest 4.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3292805 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.39$ · invest 4.63$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3310969 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.32$ · invest 4.86$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3314004 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3.28$ · invest 4.28$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3314037 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3.20$ · invest 4.57$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3297243 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.19$ · invest 4.23$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3291854 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.04$ · invest 4.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.074468
Craft 3298588 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.03$ · invest 3.93$
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074793 instead of 0.074468; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074793 instead of 0.074468

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build

What you get 9 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build