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The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −6 030.88₸

Invest at least 10 809.40₸

Average return 4 778.46₸

ROI −55.8%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 10 809.40 ₸, profit at most −6 030.88 ₸

float premium: at least 5 878 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3910

1 346.02 ₸

at 336.51

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) — 435.13 ₸ +98.63 ₸ per item · on the market 370 · buy 0.1500–0.2346
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 436.02 ₸ +99.51 ₸ per item · on the market 218 · buy 0.1500–0.3394
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) — 685.98 ₸ +349.48 ₸ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1955

Steam

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1861

2 180.08 ₸

at 436.02

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Handgun (Minimal Wear) — 883.07 ₸ +447.05 ₸ per item · on the market 194 · buy 0.0700–0.0905
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 2 518.30 ₸ +2 082.28 ₸ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.0000–0.0452
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 3 089.59 ₸ +2 653.57 ₸ per item · on the market 199 · buy 0.0000–0.0543

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1861

1 037.61 ₸

at 1 037.61

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) — 1 361.81 ₸ +324.20 ₸ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.1861
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) — 4 967.28 ₸ +3 929.67 ₸ per item · on the market 201 · buy 0.1500–0.1861
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 5 551.81 ₸ +4 514.21 ₸ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0136

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 563.71 ₸ +214.75 (+4.7%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 62%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

2 070.75 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 834.59 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

2 025.71 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

float up to 0.221874

4 889.84 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

10 514.12 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

7 481.60 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

float up to 0.221874

5 751.88 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −553.08 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −5.19 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build