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The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −157.13₴

Invest at least 555.24₴

Average return 398.10₴

ROI −28.3%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 555.24 ₴, profit at most −157.13 ₴

float premium: at least 301 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×2

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

80.70 ₴

at 40.35

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 45.96 ₴ +5.61 ₴ per item · on the market 200 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 50.42 ₴ +10.07 ₴ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 77.59 ₴ +37.24 ₴ per item · on the market 241 · buy 0.0000–0.0039

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

88.37 ₴

at 17.67

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 23.39 ₴ +5.72 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0926
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 41.58 ₴ +23.91 ₴ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0463
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 43.29 ₴ +25.62 ₴ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0926

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

70.18 ₴

at 23.39

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 41.58 ₴ +18.19 ₴ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0370
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 43.29 ₴ +19.90 ₴ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 46.45 ₴ +23.06 ₴ per item · on the market 303 · buy 0.0000–0.0370

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 239.26 ₴ +158.85 (+66.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

137.75 ₴

at 27.55

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 30.02 ₴ +2.47 ₴ per item · on the market 198 · buy 0.0700–0.0773
P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) — 35.93 ₴ +8.38 ₴ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0700–0.1104
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) — 36.66 ₴ +9.11 ₴ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.1104

Steam

×4

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

161.41 ₴

at 40.35

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 45.96 ₴ +5.61 ₴ per item · on the market 200 · buy 0.0000–0.0089
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 50.42 ₴ +10.07 ₴ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0089
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 77.59 ₴ +37.24 ₴ per item · on the market 241 · buy 0.0000–0.0070

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

17.67 ₴

at 17.67

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 23.39 ₴ +5.72 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0966
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 41.58 ₴ +23.91 ₴ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0483
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 43.29 ₴ +25.62 ₴ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0966

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 316.83 ₴ +82.46 (+26.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×3

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

121.06 ₴

at 40.35

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 45.96 ₴ +5.61 ₴ per item · on the market 200 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 50.42 ₴ +10.07 ₴ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 77.59 ₴ +37.24 ₴ per item · on the market 241 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

123.72 ₴

at 17.67

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 23.39 ₴ +5.72 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0953
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 41.58 ₴ +23.91 ₴ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0476
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 43.29 ₴ +25.62 ₴ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0953

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 244.78 ₴ +153.50 (+62.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

27.55 ₴

at 27.55

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 30.02 ₴ +2.47 ₴ per item · on the market 198 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) — 35.93 ₴ +8.38 ₴ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0700–0.1075
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) — 36.66 ₴ +9.11 ₴ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.1075

Steam

×3

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

121.06 ₴

at 40.35

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 45.96 ₴ +5.61 ₴ per item · on the market 200 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 50.42 ₴ +10.07 ₴ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 77.59 ₴ +37.24 ₴ per item · on the market 241 · buy 0.0000–0.0050

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

106.04 ₴

at 17.67

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 23.39 ₴ +5.72 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0941
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 41.58 ₴ +23.91 ₴ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0470
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 43.29 ₴ +25.62 ₴ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0941

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 254.65 ₴ +143.79 (+56.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

40.35 ₴

at 40.35

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 45.96 ₴ +5.61 ₴ per item · on the market 200 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 50.42 ₴ +10.07 ₴ per item · on the market 266 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 77.59 ₴ +37.24 ₴ per item · on the market 241 · buy 0.0000–0.0045

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

17.67 ₴

at 17.67

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 23.39 ₴ +5.72 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0934
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 41.58 ₴ +23.91 ₴ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0467
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 43.29 ₴ +25.62 ₴ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0934

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

187.15 ₴

at 23.39

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 41.58 ₴ +18.19 ₴ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0373
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 43.29 ₴ +19.90 ₴ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 46.45 ₴ +23.06 ₴ per item · on the market 303 · buy 0.0000–0.0373

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 245.17 ₴ +152.76 (+62.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 20%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

991.75 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

323.20 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

244.46 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

270.31 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

330.57 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

535.20 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

374.73 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

484.58 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Toy Soldier

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

571.82 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +88.33 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +137.17 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3313491 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 176.75₴ · invest 203.71₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3295548 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 167.77₴ · invest 204.92₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3311806 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 160.87₴ · invest 194.93₴
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3296337 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 154.39₴ · invest 246.83₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3305616 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 154.20₴ · invest 203.08₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3292805 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 153.33₴ · invest 209.48₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3310969 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 150.01₴ · invest 219.89₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3314004 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 148.20₴ · invest 193.30₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3314037 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 144.68₴ · invest 206.77₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3297243 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 144.22₴ · invest 191.02₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074222 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3301761 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 140.40₴ · invest 238.01₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3291854 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 137.50₴ · invest 212.81₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.074117
Craft 3298588 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 136.79₴ · invest 177.45₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074793 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074793 instead of 0.074117

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build