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The Italy Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +3.10$

Invest 6.94$

Average return 10.05$

ROI +44.7%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 17.96 $, profit at most −7.91 $

float premium: at least 11 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈14, цена занижена

×1

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

0.65 $

at 0.65

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) — 0.93 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 1 674 · buy 0.0000–0.0007
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) — 2.01 $ +1.36 $ per item · on the market 1 932 · buy 0.0000–0.0027

Steam

×9

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

6.30 $

at 0.70

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New) — 0.83 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 3 867 · buy 0.0000–0.0004
FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) — 0.85 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 377 · buy 0.0000–0.0083

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.94 $ +3.10 (+44.7%)

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×4

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

2.59 $

at 0.65

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) — 0.93 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 1 674 · buy 0.0000–0.0008
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) — 2.01 $ +1.36 $ per item · on the market 1 932 · buy 0.0000–0.0031

Steam

×6

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

4.20 $

at 0.70

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New) — 0.83 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 3 867 · buy 0.0000–0.0004
FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) — 0.85 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 377 · buy 0.0000–0.0093

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.79 $ +0.35 (+5.2%)

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×3

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

1.94 $

at 0.65

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) — 0.93 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 1 674 · buy 0.0000–0.0008
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) — 2.01 $ +1.36 $ per item · on the market 1 932 · buy 0.0000–0.0030

Steam

×7

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

4.90 $

at 0.70

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New) — 0.83 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 3 867 · buy 0.0000–0.0004
FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) — 0.85 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 377 · buy 0.0000–0.0090

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.84 $ +1.27 (+18.6%)

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×2

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

1.30 $

at 0.65

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) — 0.93 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 1 674 · buy 0.0000–0.0007
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) — 2.01 $ +1.36 $ per item · on the market 1 932 · buy 0.0000–0.0028

Steam

×8

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

5.60 $

at 0.70

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New) — 0.83 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 3 867 · buy 0.0000–0.0004
FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) — 0.85 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 377 · buy 0.0000–0.0086

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.89 $ +2.19 (+31.7%)

What you get 2 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nitro

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12.67 $ 90.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Pit Viper

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085675

1.53 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Italy Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 only The Safehouse Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Italy Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.27 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.07 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Italy Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3313949 · The Safehouse Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 3.20$ · invest 8.32$
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005515 instead of 0.005591
Craft 3290070 · The Bank Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 3.18$ · invest 7.84$
Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004816 instead of 0.005591
Craft 3310668 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 3.17$ · invest 8.87$
rare inputs

AUG | Plague (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005674 instead of 0.005591
Craft 3313925 · The Safehouse Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 3.12$ · invest 8.35$
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005591
Craft 3288282 · The Arabesque Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 3.08$ · invest 8.33$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005591
Craft 3313944 · The Safehouse Collection + The Train Collection · profit 3.03$ · invest 6.93$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005405 instead of 0.005591
Craft 3307333 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 2.89$ · invest 8.54$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005621 instead of 0.005591

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Italy Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 2 outcomes

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How to build