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Crafts · The Kilowatt Collection

prices updated 23.10 13:23 MSK

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The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −157.04$

Invest at least 529.78$

Average return 372.74$

ROI −29.6%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 529.78 $, profit at most −157.04 $

float premium: at least 307 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +170.45 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −45.71 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

138.62 $

at 19.80

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) — 34.95 $ +15.15 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.0000–0.0073
StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) — 44.85 $ +25.04 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

78.01 $

at 26.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +50.15 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0585
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +74.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0390

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 216.63 $ +156.12 (+72.1%)

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0089

19.80 $

at 19.80

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) — 34.95 $ +15.15 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.0000–0.0093
StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) — 44.85 $ +25.04 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0133

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0802

78.01 $

at 26.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +50.15 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0601
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +74.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0401

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0089

429.94 $

at 71.66

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +28.35 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0044

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 527.75 $ +170.45 (+32.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

39.61 $

at 19.80

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) — 34.95 $ +15.15 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.0000–0.0089
StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) — 44.85 $ +25.04 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0127

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

78.01 $

at 26.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +50.15 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0598
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +74.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0398

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

358.28 $

at 71.66

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +28.35 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0042

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 475.89 $ +168.06 (+35.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

59.41 $

at 19.80

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) — 34.95 $ +15.15 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) — 44.85 $ +25.04 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0122

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0793

78.01 $

at 26.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +50.15 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0595
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +74.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0396

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

286.63 $

at 71.66

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +28.35 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0041

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 424.04 $ +165.67 (+39.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

79.21 $

at 19.80

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) — 34.95 $ +15.15 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.0000–0.0082
StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) — 44.85 $ +25.04 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0117

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

78.01 $

at 26.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +50.15 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0592
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +74.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0395

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

214.97 $

at 71.66

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.15 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.01 $ +28.35 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0039

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 372.19 $ +163.28 (+43.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance

Factory New

float up to 0.024533

297.79 $ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

185.26 $ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 372.99 $ 15.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

183.24 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +128.48 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +154.35 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Kilowatt Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3314325 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 141.88$ · invest 544.65$
profit on prices without salesat least −74 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074078 instead of 0.078045
Craft 3292965 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 140.27$ · invest 193.76$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075334 instead of 0.078045
Craft 3295764 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 139.93$ · invest 247.06$
profit on prices without salesat least −45 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078917 instead of 0.078045
Craft 3313039 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 135.34$ · invest 185.63$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078314 instead of 0.078045
Craft 3301935 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 130.54$ · invest 270.05$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074412 instead of 0.078045
Craft 3297450 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 128.51$ · invest 164.45$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077678 instead of 0.078045
Craft 3302796 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 121.92$ · invest 258.18$
profit on prices without salesat least −56 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.078045

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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