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Crafts · The Prisma Collection

prices updated 23.10 13:23 MSK

$≈

The Prisma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −114.50$

Invest at least 236.94$

Average return 122.44$

ROI −48.3%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 236.94 $, profit at most −114.50 $

float premium: at least 135 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −95 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

67.55 $

at 7.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.45 $ +4.95 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2808
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.93 $ +14.42 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1033

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4945

27.45 $

at 27.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Field-Tested) — 62.53 $ +35.08 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.1500–0.2472
StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) — 80.60 $ +53.15 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.2483

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 95.00 $ +27.44 (+28.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −142 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1746

52.54 $

at 7.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.45 $ +4.95 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2873
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.93 $ +14.42 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1145

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1746

89.10 $

at 29.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) — 80.60 $ +50.90 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.1524
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 88.46 $ +58.76 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0873

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 141.64 $ +19.23 (+13.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −164 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

45.03 $

at 7.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.45 $ +4.95 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2800
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.93 $ +14.42 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1019

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

118.80 $

at 29.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) — 80.60 $ +50.90 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.1503
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 88.46 $ +58.76 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0839

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 163.83 $ +16.24 (+9.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −117 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

60.04 $

at 7.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.45 $ +4.95 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2745
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.93 $ +14.42 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.0923

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4804

27.45 $

at 27.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Field-Tested) — 62.53 $ +35.08 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.1500–0.2402
StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) — 80.60 $ +53.15 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.2441

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

29.70 $

at 29.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 88.46 $ +58.76 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0813
StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 167.93 $ +138.23 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.1000–0.1488

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 117.19 $ +24.46 (+20.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −191 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

30.02 $

at 7.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.45 $ +4.95 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2741
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.93 $ +14.42 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.0916

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2569

12.45 $

at 12.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 66.62 $ +54.17 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0500–0.0620
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 84.90 $ +72.45 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy 0.1400–0.1464

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

148.51 $

at 29.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) — 88.46 $ +58.76 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0811
StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 167.93 $ +138.23 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.1000–0.1487

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 190.98 $ +8.31 (+4.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

86.05 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

151.38 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.261999

564.23 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

115.09 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Prisma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.74 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20.52 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3312129 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 27.24$ · invest 76.42$
profit on prices without salesat least −76 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174707 instead of 0.168640
Craft 3312384 · The Prisma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 26.78$ · invest 92.91$
profit on prices without salesat least −93 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174707 instead of 0.168640
Craft 3308562 · The Huntsman Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 25.67$ · invest 108.42$
profit on prices without salesat least −108 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166322 instead of 0.168640

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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