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Crafts · The Recoil Collection

prices updated 23.10 13:23 MSK

₴≈

The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +56.61₴

Invest 150.45₴

Average return 207.06₴

ROI +37.6%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 359.10 ₴, profit at most −152.04 ₴

float premium: at least 207 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +168.09 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

79.36 ₴

at 9.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 9.99 ₴ +0.07 ₴ per item · on the market 352 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) — 11.49 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 11.54 ₴ +1.62 ₴ per item · on the market 345 · buy 0.0700–0.0749

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

30.81 ₴

at 30.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Factory New) — 36.91 ₴ +6.10 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Factory New) — 41.07 ₴ +10.26 ₴ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Factory New) — 46.23 ₴ +15.42 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

40.28 ₴

at 40.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 61.19 ₴ +20.91 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.0000–0.0468
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 70.89 ₴ +30.61 ₴ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.0937
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 80.71 ₴ +40.43 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.0937

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 150.45 ₴ +56.61 (+37.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −79 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

61.62 ₴

at 30.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Factory New) — 36.91 ₴ +6.10 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0084
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Factory New) — 41.07 ₴ +10.26 ₴ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0000–0.0084
StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Factory New) — 46.23 ₴ +15.42 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

281.96 ₴

at 40.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 61.19 ₴ +20.91 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.0000–0.0479
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 70.89 ₴ +30.61 ₴ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.0959
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 80.71 ₴ +40.43 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.0959

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

61.19 ₴

at 61.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 90.07 ₴ +28.87 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) — 90.97 ₴ +29.78 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0094
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Factory New) — 122.79 ₴ +61.60 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0000–0.0070

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 404.77 ₴ +148.95 (+36.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −89 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

30.81 ₴

at 30.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Factory New) — 36.91 ₴ +6.10 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Factory New) — 41.07 ₴ +10.26 ₴ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Factory New) — 46.23 ₴ +15.42 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

281.96 ₴

at 40.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 61.19 ₴ +20.91 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.0000–0.0478
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 70.89 ₴ +30.61 ₴ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.0956
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 80.71 ₴ +40.43 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.0956

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

122.38 ₴

at 61.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 90.07 ₴ +28.87 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) — 90.97 ₴ +29.78 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0090
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Factory New) — 122.79 ₴ +61.60 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 435.15 ₴ +168.09 (+38.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

59.52 ₴

at 9.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 9.99 ₴ +0.07 ₴ per item · on the market 352 · buy 0.0700–0.0762
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) — 11.49 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0700–0.0762
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 11.54 ₴ +1.62 ₴ per item · on the market 345 · buy 0.0700–0.0762

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

17.46 ₴

at 17.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 28.75 ₴ +11.28 ₴ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.1500–0.2098
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 35.90 ₴ +18.43 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0700–0.1049
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 38.24 ₴ +20.78 ₴ per item · on the market 72 · buy 0.1500–0.2098

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

183.57 ₴

at 61.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 90.07 ₴ +28.87 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) — 90.97 ₴ +29.78 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0087
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Factory New) — 122.79 ₴ +61.60 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 260.56 ₴ +95.07 (+36.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

79.36 ₴

at 9.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 9.99 ₴ +0.07 ₴ per item · on the market 352 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) — 11.49 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 11.54 ₴ +1.62 ₴ per item · on the market 345 · buy 0.0700–0.0747

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

40.28 ₴

at 40.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 61.19 ₴ +20.91 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.0000–0.0467
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 70.89 ₴ +30.61 ₴ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.0934
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 80.71 ₴ +40.43 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.0934

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

61.19 ₴

at 61.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 90.07 ₴ +28.87 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0041
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) — 90.97 ₴ +29.78 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Factory New) — 122.79 ₴ +61.60 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0000–0.0050

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 180.84 ₴ +75.74 (+41.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

280.19 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

98.89 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

130.87 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

261.27 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

134.61 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 449.88 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

687.21 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

240.48 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

625.16 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +19.50 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +50.38 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3311350 · The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 54.15₴ · invest 144.48₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074035 instead of 0.074999; StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New): float at most 0.003531 instead of 0.004374

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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