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Crafts · The Recoil Collection

prices updated 23.10 13:23 MSK

₴≈

The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −5 865.80₴

Invest at least 20 374.60₴

Average return 14 508.79₴

ROI −28.8%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 20 374.60 ₴, profit at most −5 865.80 ₴

float premium: at least 11 483 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +7 570.44 ₴ по средним

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −3 005.40 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

4 865.02 ₴

at 695.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) — 1 222.06 ₴ +527.06 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0103
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) — 1 719.84 ₴ +1 024.83 ₴ per item · on the market 127 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

3 526.01 ₴

at 1 175.34

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 442.32 ₴ +2 266.99 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0587
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 520.46 ₴ +3 345.12 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0391

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 391.03 ₴ +6 117.76 (+72.9%)

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0089

695.00 ₴

at 695.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) — 1 222.06 ₴ +527.06 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0128
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) — 1 719.84 ₴ +1 024.83 ₴ per item · on the market 127 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0802

3 526.01 ₴

at 1 175.34

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 442.32 ₴ +2 266.99 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0602
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 520.46 ₴ +3 345.12 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0401

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0089

19 434.22 ₴

at 3 239.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 442.32 ₴ +203.29 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 520.46 ₴ +1 281.42 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0044

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23 655.24 ₴ +7 570.44 (+32.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

1 390.01 ₴

at 695.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) — 1 222.06 ₴ +527.06 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0123
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) — 1 719.84 ₴ +1 024.83 ₴ per item · on the market 127 · buy 0.0000–0.0095

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0798

3 526.01 ₴

at 1 175.34

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 442.32 ₴ +2 266.99 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0599
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 520.46 ₴ +3 345.12 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0399

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

16 195.19 ₴

at 3 239.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 442.32 ₴ +203.29 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 520.46 ₴ +1 281.42 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0043

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21 111.20 ₴ +7 328.33 (+34.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0083

2 085.01 ₴

at 695.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) — 1 222.06 ₴ +527.06 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0119
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) — 1 719.84 ₴ +1 024.83 ₴ per item · on the market 127 · buy 0.0000–0.0091

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0795

3 526.01 ₴

at 1 175.34

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 442.32 ₴ +2 266.99 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0596
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 520.46 ₴ +3 345.12 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0397

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0083

12 956.15 ₴

at 3 239.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 442.32 ₴ +203.29 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 520.46 ₴ +1 281.42 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0041

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 567.17 ₴ +7 086.21 (+38.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

2 780.01 ₴

at 695.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) — 1 222.06 ₴ +527.06 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0114
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) — 1 719.84 ₴ +1 024.83 ₴ per item · on the market 127 · buy 0.0000–0.0088

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

3 526.01 ₴

at 1 175.34

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 442.32 ₴ +2 266.99 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0593
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 520.46 ₴ +3 345.12 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0395

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

9 717.11 ₴

at 3 239.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 442.32 ₴ +203.29 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 520.46 ₴ +1 281.42 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0040

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16 023.14 ₴ +6 844.10 (+42.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

float up to 0.021538

2 712.17 ₴ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.026153

11 433.62 ₴ 35.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 062.29 ₴ 15.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

8 283.01 ₴ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5 355.15 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5 996.97 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3309506 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 056.79₴ · invest 9 792.08₴
profit on prices without salesat least −669 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078045 instead of 0.078314
Craft 3314325 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 413.28₴ · invest 24 619.50₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 332 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074078 instead of 0.078314
Craft 3292965 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 340.34₴ · invest 8 758.54₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075334 instead of 0.078314
Craft 3295764 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 325.25₴ · invest 11 167.56₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 044 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078917 instead of 0.078314
Craft 3301935 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 900.58₴ · invest 12 206.69₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074412 instead of 0.078314
Craft 3297450 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 808.83₴ · invest 7 433.38₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077678 instead of 0.078314
Craft 3302796 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 5 511.10₴ · invest 11 670.46₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 547 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.078314

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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