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The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −171.97₴

Invest at least 927.87₴

Average return 755.91₴

ROI −18.5%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 927.87 ₴, profit at most −171.97 ₴

float premium: at least 526 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +590.09 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

53.02 ₴

at 17.67

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 23.39 ₴ +5.72 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0929
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 41.58 ₴ +23.91 ₴ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0464
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 43.29 ₴ +25.62 ₴ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0929

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

70.18 ₴

at 23.39

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 41.58 ₴ +18.19 ₴ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0371
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 43.29 ₴ +19.90 ₴ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 46.45 ₴ +23.06 ₴ per item · on the market 303 · buy 0.0000–0.0371

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

274.60 ₴

at 68.65

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.48 ₴ +44.82 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0812
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 141.98 ₴ +73.33 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0227
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 145.55 ₴ +76.90 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0123

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 397.81 ₴ +358.10 (+90.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

187.15 ₴

at 23.39

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 41.58 ₴ +18.19 ₴ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0389
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 43.29 ₴ +19.90 ₴ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0779
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 46.45 ₴ +23.06 ₴ per item · on the market 303 · buy 0.0000–0.0389

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

41.58 ₴

at 41.58

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 46.45 ₴ +4.87 ₴ per item · on the market 303 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) — 64.98 ₴ +23.39 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0111
XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) — 90.65 ₴ +49.06 ₴ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0000–0.0139

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

68.65 ₴

at 68.65

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.48 ₴ +44.82 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0866
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 141.98 ₴ +73.33 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0285
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 145.55 ₴ +76.90 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0155

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 297.38 ₴ +189.92 (+63.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

70.70 ₴

at 17.67

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 23.39 ₴ +5.72 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0944
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 41.58 ₴ +23.91 ₴ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0472
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 43.29 ₴ +25.62 ₴ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0944

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

411.90 ₴

at 68.65

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.48 ₴ +44.82 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0830
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 141.98 ₴ +73.33 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0246
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 145.55 ₴ +76.90 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0134

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 482.60 ₴ +452.37 (+93.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

17.67 ₴

at 17.67

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 23.39 ₴ +5.72 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0700–0.0938
MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 41.58 ₴ +23.91 ₴ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0469
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 43.29 ₴ +25.62 ₴ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0938

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

140.36 ₴

at 23.39

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 41.58 ₴ +18.19 ₴ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0375
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 43.29 ₴ +19.90 ₴ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 46.45 ₴ +23.06 ₴ per item · on the market 303 · buy 0.0000–0.0375

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

205.95 ₴

at 68.65

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.48 ₴ +44.82 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0823
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 141.98 ₴ +73.33 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0238
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 145.55 ₴ +76.90 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0129

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 363.99 ₴ +302.39 (+83.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

187.15 ₴

at 23.39

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 41.58 ₴ +18.19 ₴ per item · on the market 271 · buy 0.0000–0.0373
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear) — 43.29 ₴ +19.90 ₴ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 46.45 ₴ +23.06 ₴ per item · on the market 303 · buy 0.0000–0.0373

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

137.30 ₴

at 68.65

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.48 ₴ +44.82 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0818
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 141.98 ₴ +73.33 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0234
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 145.55 ₴ +76.90 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0127

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 324.45 ₴ +252.39 (+77.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

in profit

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

991.75 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

323.20 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

244.46 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

270.31 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

425.39 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

3 882.69 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

1 399.55 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

240.68 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +211.94 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +296.49 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build